NC: Emerson: Budd +5
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Author Topic: NC: Emerson: Budd +5  (Read 494 times)
Matty
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« on: November 02, 2022, 03:04:38 PM »


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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2022, 03:14:37 PM »
Yeah, this one isn't flipping. Margin and figures are petty accurate, I guess. Lines perfectly up with my prediction.
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Hollywood
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2022, 03:22:37 PM »
I'm adding the NC Senate to the list of Races that are gone for the Democrats, and also includes FL, OH, and WI.  Trump is beating Biden by 11 points in a hypothetical 2024 matchup. 
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2022, 03:24:20 PM »
I can believe this, because North Carolina was a way outside bet in an unfriendly midterm. I still wager Beasley makes it surprisingly close, but I'm at peace with losing here.
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Matty
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2022, 03:26:17 PM »
Quote from: Dani Rose on November 02, 2022, 03:24:20 PM
I can believe this, because North Carolina was a way outside bet in an unfriendly midterm. I still wager Beasley makes it surprisingly close, but I'm at peace with losing here.

Here’s the thing about NC

It’s got a high enough black population that dems have a hard floor of like 45-46%.

It’s why Kay Hagan (rip) was able to nearly win in a gop wave in 2014
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Brittain33
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2022, 03:31:55 PM »
This fits my head canon so I’m agreeing with it
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2022, 04:06:12 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2022, 04:25:25 PM by wbrocks67 »
In a hypothetical 2024 presidential election between President Biden and former President Trump, 51% would vote for Trump and 40% for Biden.

What in the world?

I'm not even saying this poll is wrong or that it's unbelievable (The Sen topline) - But that part about 2024 is insane.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2022, 04:15:41 PM »
Quote from: Matty on November 02, 2022, 03:26:17 PM
Quote from: Dani Rose on November 02, 2022, 03:24:20 PM
I can believe this, because North Carolina was a way outside bet in an unfriendly midterm. I still wager Beasley makes it surprisingly close, but I'm at peace with losing here.

Here’s the thing about NC

It’s got a high enough black population that dems have a hard floor of like 45-46%.

It’s why Kay Hagan (rip) was able to nearly win in a gop wave in 2014

Budd and Vance and Lake, DeSantis aren't QANON they are mainstream Rs like Trump ran in 2016b thats why he beat Hillary after COVID he became MAGA calling it the Chinese virus, that allowed attacks against Chinese and other Ds

Cox, Bailey, Masters and Mastriano are MAGA they don't want abortion access under amy circumstances
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