NV Sen - Emerson- Laxalt +5

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1587580632540274688?t=emDSghx1vR3WwCc5...

[MT Treasurer]

I approve of this poll &

Yeah, could see her getting 45%.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Damn, Emerson has been one of the most accurate NV pollsters...

[RI]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

[AncestralDemocrat.]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

Gerrymander busted.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I said a week or two ago on discord that Nevada was the Senate seat I felt best about in the "big 4".

[soundchaser]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

This simply doesn’t track with the early vote — even in a pessimistic scenario for Dems like earlier today was looking. Strange things are afoot here.

[Ferguson97]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

I buy 2, 3, and 4. But a 12-point lead for the Republican in NV-01? Yeah right.

[Unelectable Bystander]

We’ll see, but it’s possible that this or the New Hampshire poll will be what was staring us in the face if the senate ends up flipping. As NYT was with the house

[kwabbit]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

I buy 2, 3, and 4. But a 12-point lead for the Republican in NV-01? Yeah right.

Yeah, that is an overestimate but Titus is definitely the weakest of the incumbents.

[soundchaser]

Was this poll conducted in Spanish at all? I can’t see any language info in the full results.

[Lief 🗽]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

[Vosem]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

I remain convinced that if Oz and Warnock end up running ahead of their benchmarks, that is a deeply ominous sign for Biden, whereas Fetterman and Walker both having a good night is a good sign for him. Obviously the scale of a Republican (or FTM Democratic) victory in 2022 doesn't imply anything regarding 2024, but then you know that.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

Stop Dooming it's not over until. PROJECTION OF WINNERS THERE WERE MANY POLLS Contradict THE WI PLUS 3 CLARITY BARNES +2 AND SUFFOLK HAD IT +1 CCM

It's a 51/49 race either way LAXALT isn't up 5

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

Stop Dooming it's not over until. PROJECTION OF WINNERS THERE WERE MANY POLLS Contradict THE WI PLUS 3 CLARITY BARNES +2 AND SUFFOLK HAD IT +1 CCM

It's a 51/49 race either way LAXALT isn't up 5

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J9gKyRmic20

[Lief 🗽]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

I remain convinced that if Oz and Warnock end up running ahead of their benchmarks, that is a deeply ominous sign for Biden, whereas Fetterman and Walker both having a good night is a good sign for him. Obviously the scale of a Republican (or FTM Democratic) victory in 2022 doesn't imply anything regarding 2024, but then you know that.

Well I don’t think there’s really any relation at all between midterms and the next presidential election. But it’s very unlikely that Biden gets any electoral votes from states with Lombardo, Lake, Michels, etc as governor or that a Republican Congress does anything to stop them.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

I remain convinced that if Oz and Warnock end up running ahead of their benchmarks, that is a deeply ominous sign for Biden, whereas Fetterman and Walker both having a good night is a good sign for him. Obviously the scale of a Republican (or FTM Democratic) victory in 2022 doesn't imply anything regarding 2024, but then you know that.

Well I don’t think there’s really any relation at all between midterms and the next presidential election. But it’s very unlikely that Biden gets any electoral votes from states with Lombardo, Lake, Michels, etc as governor or that a Republican Congress does anything to stop them.

GA+PA+NC is still a viable path.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

It’s over. 53-47 senate, 240+ House seats, 2024 is Safe R.

54-46 Senate*

[Aurelius]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

Best gerrymander ever!

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

Best gerrymander ever!

Now we just need the same thing to happen in New Mexico.

[jamestroll]

NV-01
Robertson (R) 54
Titus (D) 42

NV-02
Amodei (R) 59
Krause (D) 34

NV-03
Becker (R) 52
Lee (D) 47

NV-04
Horsford (D) 51
Peters (R) 47

Best gerrymander ever!

There are many reasons why I advocate for drawing congressional districts based on geographic sense.

[Eraserhead]

Ugly poll but we've seen all sorts of results out of here.

[Lief 🗽]

The purpose of the NV gerrymander was not to survive a GOP wave but to give Democrats 75% of seats with only 50% of the vote in a neutral year.

[iceman]

I would like to believe this. Hopefully Rosen goes down as well in 2024.

[wbrocks67]

Was this poll conducted in Spanish at all? I can’t see any language info in the full results.

Would make sense why their New Mexico poll was better Ronchetti too, if true.

Let's make a note though that this is the Trafalgar result, and not even Club for Growth's own internals found Laxalt up by more than 2.