NH:Saint Anselm: bolduc +1

[wbrocks67]

They got a really funky sample, Bolduc up with college grads by the same amount as HS or less. In a state as white as NH that is virtually impossible to happen. He also leads with under 50 and moderates while Hassan up 17 with 65+. Unskewing is silly but good polls shouldn't have this much noise.

They also have NH-01 shifting literally 15% in one month.

[wbrocks67]

After delving into the crosstabs this poll has Hassan down by 15 with 18-34 voters.

To be fair the margin between Hassan and Bolduc with Gen X seems suspicious too but there's no way in hell Maggie is down 20 with young voters.

At this point, do not trust any poll that has the GOP winning 18-34 year olds. Same crap with IA with Dixon, Oz, etc. Not even a crap sample can produce that much variation.

[wbrocks67]

Fake poll

I really don't even understand how they possibly could've gotten Leavitt +6 in NH-01. That's literally nearly 15% out from the actual result (Pappas+8)