NH:Saint Anselm: bolduc +1

[GALeftist]

I am sure the responses to this poll will be very reasonable

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hassan is gonna win

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

People have been underestimating NH's propensity to swing wildly, particularly in midterm election cycles. For the last couple of weeks, this seemed like a possibly to suddenly explode onto the radar, if the "normal" fundamentals forced their way back to the surface in this election.

Granted different time and place, but Ayotte's insane victory margin in 2010 comes to mind.

[Duke of York]

Hassan is gonna win

what makes you so sure?

[free my dawg]

After delving into the crosstabs this poll has Hassan down by 15 with 18-34 voters.

To be fair the margin between Hassan and Bolduc with Gen X seems suspicious too but there's no way in hell Maggie is down 20 with young voters.

[GALeftist]

Don't think crosstabs delving is a useful exercise (I've fallen into that trap before): you'll always find something questionable if you look hard enough, that's just how they work. Theoretically it should all come out in the wash. On the other hand, the favorability numbers, which are not crosstabs, seem pretty wack. In particular, it seems weird that Biden's "somewhat disapprove" is so low at only 6% – those voters are going to have to be the backbone of any Democratic coalition this cycle. Maybe they all came home to the Republicans and strongly disapprove now, though. IDK.

[Ebowed]

This Bolduc fellow now has more poll leads than Blake Masters.  Intriguing.

[SnowLabrador]

Tossup, but as others have said, if Bolduc even comes close, that likely means Warnock, Kelly, and Cortez Masto are all losing. Sununu would be crushing Hassan right now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tossup, but as others have said, if Bolduc even comes close, that likely means Warnock, Kelly, and Cortez Masto are all losing. Sununu would be crushing Hassan right now.

We're not losing NH

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Considering the Intelligence Quotient levels of Rick Scott and other Republican 'strategists', who have lit money on fire in Connecticut, Colorado and Washington, I don't think their strategy to pull out of NH says anything about the race so much as it's a reminder that they're morons.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Considering the Intelligence Quotient levels of Rick Scott and other Republican 'strategists', who have lit money on fire in Connecticut, Colorado and Washington, I don't think their strategy to pull out of NH says anything about the race so much as it's a reminder that they're morons.

Rick Scott had this fetish for CT going back two years, for some reason.

[AnOdyssey]

This Bolduc fellow now has more poll leads than Blake Masters.  Intriguing.

Tends to happen when you flips flop and backtrack to appear more moderate.

[jamestroll]

Considering the Intelligence Quotient levels of Rick Scott and other Republican 'strategists', who have lit money on fire in Connecticut, Colorado and Washington, I don't think their strategy to pull out of NH says anything about the race so much as it's a reminder that they're morons.

Colorado... trust me.. the people moving in.. many are to the left of me and more loyal to Democrats than me. It is will be a difficult state for the GOP. Though I am not 100% convinced it will vote for Biden by 14 or more points in 2024. Too early to tell.

Just a few cycles ago, O'dea would have been tied in some polling at very least.

[iceman]

I wouldn’t put too much emphasis on this. New Hampshire is a state that always disappoints for the GOP.

[KaiserDave]

Catastrophic poll for Democrats. I think Hassan still wins by a very narrow margin but this is...not good.

ahhahahahhahahahahhahahahhahaha

Shut up idiot

[Figueira]

So much for this being the best pollster in New Hampshire!

[wbrocks67]

After delving into the crosstabs this poll has Hassan down by 15 with 18-34 voters.

To be fair the margin between Hassan and Bolduc with Gen X seems suspicious too but there's no way in hell Maggie is down 20 with young voters.

At this point, do not trust any poll that has the GOP winning 18-34 year olds. Same crap with IA with Dixon, Oz, etc. Not even a crap sample can produce that much variation.

[Dani Rose]

Shoutout to when I forgot St. Anselm College existed.

[Fancyarcher]

Lol, New Hampshire was quite possibly the worst polled state this entire year. Even the supposed non-biased gold-standards were heavily off on every race.

Reverse 2020 Maine senate situation. Ridiculous!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This was Woodbury call for Bolduc and we haven't heard from him

[Person Man]

😂

[Atlas Force]

[America Needs R'hllor]

Catastrophic poll for Democrats. I think Hassan still wins by a very narrow margin but this is...not good.

ahhahahahhahahahahhahahahhahaha

Shut up idiot

It's not your fault patriot

[DaleCooper]

Fake poll

[wbrocks67]

Fake poll

I really don't even understand how they possibly could've gotten Leavitt +6 in NH-01. That's literally nearly 15% out from the actual result (Pappas+8)