Predict DeSantis margin

[AnOdyssey]

3.9-4.5%

Zeldin will win by 10. See I can hack too

Don't know why you had to quote me twice by double-posting. Didn't know someone could get offended by a prediction.

[EastwoodS]

3.9-4.5%

Zeldin will win by 10. See I can hack too

Don't know why you had to quote me twice by double-posting. Didn't know someone could get offended by a prediction.

Your prediction is based on emotion and not fact. DeSantis is up 7 in the early vote and the ED is going to be overwhelmingly red. But emotional “predictions” are becoming all the more common by the reds on here.

[AnOdyssey]

3.9-4.5%

Zeldin will win by 10. See I can hack too

Don't know why you had to quote me twice by double-posting. Didn't know someone could get offended by a prediction.

Your prediction is based on emotion and not fact. DeSantis is up 7 in the early vote and the ED is going to be overwhelmingly red. But emotional “predictions” are becoming all the more common by the reds on here.

I would be careful about casting stones while living in a glass house.

[EastwoodS]

3.9-4.5%

Zeldin will win by 10. See I can hack too

Don't know why you had to quote me twice by double-posting. Didn't know someone could get offended by a prediction.

Your prediction is based on emotion and not fact. DeSantis is up 7 in the early vote and the ED is going to be overwhelmingly red. But emotional “predictions” are becoming all the more common by the reds on here.

I would be careful about casting stones while living in a glass house.

I don’t have faults nice try though

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He won't win by 10 but it's 8

[MillennialModerate]

People talking about MIAMI DADE flipping. Isn’t that… crazy? That means Florida is long long gone.

Didn’t Miami-Dade pretty much account for Dems winning margins in the rare times they’ve won statewide?!?!

[bagelman]

People talking about MIAMI DADE flipping. Isn’t that… crazy? That means Florida is long long gone.

Didn’t Miami-Dade pretty much account for Dems winning margins in the rare times they’ve won statewide?!?!

People forget that Miami-Dade has a sizeable black population. If black turnout craters then DeSantis could win it but I think Crist narrowly holds it.

[One Term Floridian]

I think the bottom finally falls out for FL Dems. Anywhere between 12-14% honestly, with Rubio doing about 1-2% worse.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

DeSantis+13 or 14

[iceman]

People talking about MIAMI DADE flipping. Isn’t that… crazy? That means Florida is long long gone.

Didn’t Miami-Dade pretty much account for Dems winning margins in the rare times they’ve won statewide?!?!

People forget that Miami-Dade has a sizeable black population. If black turnout craters then DeSantis could win it but I think Crist narrowly holds it.

black population actually decreased in 2020 census from 17% to 14%. Hispanics are around 68% and that matters a lot if they are indeed coming out strong for DeSantis. GOP are leading right now in the early vote and there is no way the DEMS could do much better on EDay.

[2016]

People talking about MIAMI DADE flipping. Isn’t that… crazy? That means Florida is long long gone.

Didn’t Miami-Dade pretty much account for Dems winning margins in the rare times they’ve won statewide?!?!

People forget that Miami-Dade has a sizeable black population. If black turnout craters then DeSantis could win it but I think Crist narrowly holds it.

The Siena Poll released last week had DeSantis at 14 % with AA in FL.

You are nothing more then the National Democratic Bigot Party who claim that every African-American who votes Republican is a racist.

[Aurelius]

Now predicting a 14 pt margin. 15 would not surprise me.

[2016]

Now predicting a 14 pt margin. 15 would not surprise me.

New Data for Progress Poll has DeSantis even winning the Women Vote. If that's even remotely true OH MY I say.

[Sir Mohamed]

I'm predicting 13 pts. now. DeSantis wins 55-42%.

Even the DeSantis apologist underestimated him. Ugh. Sorry, OC.

[TodayJunior]

DeSantis +9.5, just shy of 10%.

Crist only wins the following:
1. Gadsden - 63/36
2. Leon - 61/38
3. Alachua - 59/40
4. Orange - 58/41
5. Hillsborough - 50/49
6. Pinellas - 50/49 (his home turf), otherwise DeSantis would win here.  
7. Osceola - 52/47
8. Palm Beach - 53/46
9. Broward - 61/38
10. Miami-Dade - 51/49 - it’s very difficult to actually flip this county.

Other honorable mentions:
1. Seminole - DeSantis 51/48
2. Duval - DeSantis - 52/47
3. St. Lucie - DeSantis - 54/45
4. Volusia - DeSantis - 59/40
5. Monroe - DeSantis - 54/45

We’ll see how my county numbers shake out Vs Tuesday’s actuals. Could be way off depending on how bad the night goes, but I’m sticking with this.

That's just BALONEY from you. Miami-Dade has a very good chance of flipping. The NPA Voters will make the Difference. And you are telling us that Miami-Dade County E-Day Vote will be significantly more Democratic compared to the Early Vote? Not happening either!

Given that the FL Statewide Races are not that competitive E-Day Turnout won't be that high either.

I will now eat crow. But hey I got the Crist counties half right!
What’s my consolation prize!?

[Schiff for Senate]

In terms of margin (though not outcome), PA and FL might have been the biggest gubernatorial shockers.

Both wins/landslides also make history: DeathSantis’ performance is the best for any FL gubernatorial candidate since 1982, and it’s the best performance for a GOPer running for FL gov since at least Reconstruction. Shapiro’s win marks the first time since the 1840s that Democrats have won the PA governorship thrice in a row (and they won each time very comfortably - narrowest win of the three was a Wolf+10 in 2014).

EDIT: this marks 10,000 posts!

[DS0816]

It would be something if Ron DeSantis wins re-election, as Governor of Florida, and in a Republican hold, with 60 percent of the vote.

I was close.

🇺🇸

(One of the few such examples.)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It would be something if Ron DeSantis wins re-election, as Governor of Florida, and in a Republican hold, with 60 percent of the vote.

I was close.


Lol it was Hurricane 🌀, there was a Listener poll that came out with Crist +6 and Crist -4, you never know what happens in FLORIDA

🇺🇸

(One of the few such examples.)