Predict DeSantis margin

[David Hume]

A year ago I predicted that DeSantis would win 10+, and most posters said it's impossible. Now it seems 15 is the goal.

[iceman]

56% Ronnie to 43% for 3x loser Crist… and that might be a conservative estimate.

[bagelman]

I think his floor is high single digits at this point

[Vern]

Around 15%

[Rookie Yinzer]

I think +9. I hope it's more. He's going to win anyway and I want to see ResistTwitter who say stuff like "RT if DeSantis should be impeached" lose their sh!t on Election Night.

[Aurelius]

13%

[Ferguson97]

Just a hair above 10%, I can't see him winning by much more than that. The Florida Dems are incompetent, but they still have a VERY high floor there.

[US Politics Fanatic]

16. He'll flip Duval, Pinellas, Hillsborough, Miami-Dade and Seminole. Osceola is a pure tossup.

[seskoog]

11.

[Sir Mohamed]

I'm predicting 13 pts. now. DeSantis wins 55-42%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm predicting 13 pts. now. DeSantis wins 55-42%.

He's not winning by 13 and that was a University of FL poll that showed him up 13 if he wins him and Abbott will win by 8 and no he's not winning Miami Dade Crist is

No main stream poll other than University of FL and University of Houston have Abbott and DeSantis up 13 CNN has Abbott up 6 that's how much University of TX is Worth

That poll showing DeSantis up was the similar to Fetterman and Center street Pac having Kelly and Fetterman up 55/36 and I posted those POLL

[David Hume]

I think his floor is high single digits at this point

His floor is 10 at this point.

[MillennialModerate]

17%

[TodayJunior]

DeSantis +9.5, just shy of 10%.

Crist only wins the following:
1. Gadsden - 63/36
2. Leon - 61/38
3. Alachua - 59/40
4. Orange - 58/41
5. Hillsborough - 50/49
6. Pinellas - 50/49 (his home turf), otherwise DeSantis would win here.  
7. Osceola - 52/47
8. Palm Beach - 53/46
9. Broward - 61/38
10. Miami-Dade - 51/49 - it’s very difficult to actually flip this county.

Other honorable mentions:
1. Seminole - DeSantis 51/48
2. Duval - DeSantis - 52/47
3. St. Lucie - DeSantis - 54/45
4. Volusia - DeSantis - 59/40
5. Monroe - DeSantis - 54/45

We’ll see how my county numbers shake out Vs Tuesday’s actuals. Could be way off depending on how bad the night goes, but I’m sticking with this.

[2016]

DeSantis +9.5, just shy of 10%.

Crist only wins the following:
1. Gadsden - 63/36
2. Leon - 61/38
3. Alachua - 59/40
4. Orange - 58/41
5. Hillsborough - 50/49
6. Pinellas - 50/49 (his home turf), otherwise DeSantis would win here.  
7. Osceola - 52/47
8. Palm Beach - 53/46
9. Broward - 61/38
10. Miami-Dade - 51/49 - it’s very difficult to actually flip this county.

Other honorable mentions:
1. Seminole - DeSantis 51/48
2. Duval - DeSantis - 52/47
3. St. Lucie - DeSantis - 54/45
4. Volusia - DeSantis - 59/40
5. Monroe - DeSantis - 54/45

We’ll see how my county numbers shake out Vs Tuesday’s actuals. Could be way off depending on how bad the night goes, but I’m sticking with this.

That's just BALONEY from you. Miami-Dade has a very good chance of flipping. The NPA Voters will make the Difference. And you are telling us that Miami-Dade County E-Day Vote will be significantly more Democratic compared to the Early Vote? Not happening either!

Given that the FL Statewide Races are not that competitive E-Day Turnout won't be that high either.

[TodayJunior]

DeSantis +9.5, just shy of 10%.

Crist only wins the following:
1. Gadsden - 63/36
2. Leon - 61/38
3. Alachua - 59/40
4. Orange - 58/41
5. Hillsborough - 50/49
6. Pinellas - 50/49 (his home turf), otherwise DeSantis would win here.  
7. Osceola - 52/47
8. Palm Beach - 53/46
9. Broward - 61/38
10. Miami-Dade - 51/49 - it’s very difficult to actually flip this county.

Other honorable mentions:
1. Seminole - DeSantis 51/48
2. Duval - DeSantis - 52/47
3. St. Lucie - DeSantis - 54/45
4. Volusia - DeSantis - 59/40
5. Monroe - DeSantis - 54/45

We’ll see how my county numbers shake out Vs Tuesday’s actuals. Could be way off depending on how bad the night goes, but I’m sticking with this.

That's just BALONEY from you. Miami-Dade has a very good chance of flipping. The NPA Voters will make the Difference. And you are telling us that Miami-Dade County E-Day Vote will be significantly more Democratic compared to the Early Vote? Not happening either!

Given that the FL Statewide Races are not that competitive E-Day Turnout won't be that high either.

I’m not saying it CANT flip. I just think in the end it WONT flip. Oh well. We’ll see who’s right on Tuesday. Gentleman’s wager?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

52/44 DeSantis, it's a 303 map anyways

[DS0816]

It would be something if Ron DeSantis wins re-election, as Governor of Florida, and in a Republican hold, with 60 percent of the vote.

[fluffypanther19]

i guess about 11 pts. its. going to be at least 8 pts imo.

[SnowLabrador]

Probably about 15. Early voting is just BRUTAL for Democrats there.

[2016]

Probably about 15. Early voting is just BRUTAL for Democrats there.

I agree unless Democrats have some aces up their sleeve which I doubt. Also, given that FL Statewide Races are not as competitive as in other States E-Day Turnout might not be that high.

[Bismarck]

12 points.

[AnOdyssey]

3.9-4.5%

[EastwoodS]

3.9-4.5%

Just get out

[EastwoodS]

3.9-4.5%

Zeldin will win by 10. See I can hack too