Write a summary of the 2022 election results.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Make it as long or as short as you choose. This is less about the results of specific races but under the hood how coalitions may have changed as stuff.

I'll start.

The 2022 election is generally seen as a success for the GOP with Republicans flipping both chambers of congress and holding their ground at the state level, with few governor/legistlative flips in either direction.

The big theme out the night is a general increase in polarization; red areas generally getting redder and blue areas generally get bluer. A lot of rural communities in which people assumed Trump had reached the GOP's full potential end up getting redder once again.

The suburbs are seen as a mixed bag for Democrats with some shifting back to the GOP while Dems building on their 2020 performances in others. The message is clear though that post Trump, these suburbs will still continue to shift left, largely as a consequence of fundamental demographic change. Most of the suburbs where Dems match or build on their 2020 performances are places with very rapid demographic changes, whereas a lot of more established white suburbs shift rightwards.

A lot of heavily Hispanic/Asian/Black city centers that swung towards Trump in 2020 swing slightly back to the left, largely as a consequence of lower turnout. At the same time however, the GOP still improves with more socially conservative enclaves of Asians and Hispanics who never voted as lopsided in favor of Ds to begin with (Flushing, RGV, Miami, some parts of Houston, ect).

People argue that the wave would've been much stronger if it weren't for the fact the Dem base has become more relialbe educated voters. Voter turnout on college campuses for instance is relatively strong in a way that heavily favors Ds.

On the state level, Democrats experience pretty significant underperformances in a lot of safe D Democratic controlled states while Rs experience the same kind of underperformance in a lot of the states they control, suggesting that by and large people are unhappy with the state governments.

Post election, there is a lot of discussion about both parties having relatively unstable coalitions. For Democrats, it largely focuses around the Senate and their inability to win many lower population states. Something like a loss in NV but a gain in PA would cement this.

On the Republican side, it's clear even if they win in 2022, that demographic changes will cause them real problems in places like GA, AZ, and TX.

Oh and finally overall it's a realtively high turnout midterm and most agree the era of low turnout midterms is over.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs aren't flipping both chambers