WA Sen (Moore Information/NRSC internal) - TIED

[BenjiG98]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1586741358106230784?s=20&t=J7sYpky...

[UncleSam]

Lol just a matter of time until an R internal found this all the way to tied I guess.

Tomorrow Trafalgar will drop a Smiley leading poll.

Still heavily doubt it will materialize but starting to think this might be more of a 6-8 point win than a 10 point win for Murray. If she does lose somehow her campaign will go down as the single worst Democratic senate campaign at least this century, if not ever. It was absolutely godawful and her ads were just abysmal.

[Mr.Phips]

This is one race where I think the Republican pollsters are going to be very wrong. 

[wbrocks67]

It's strange how Kellyanne's internal poll couldn't even get anything better than Murray +6, while this other internal has it tied.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We know this isn't flipping R anyways

[SnowLabrador]

It's going to be a bloodbath.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Don't we have D vs R results from the primary? I don't see why the general election results are going to differ significantly from the primary... I will go with Murray + 8 for now, and that's giving Smiley some % point gain from the primary.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

This poll is maybe even dumber than all the Ohio polls that have Ryan up. So that's saying something as to how hilariously bad this poll is.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

The zone is really being flooded

[Dani Rose]

It's going to be a bloodbath.

The fact that you actually believe this poll tells me that you desperately, desperately need some time offline. Like, legitimately, I'm not being rude, stop tying so much of your mental wellbeing into poll results before it drives you insane. Polling was comedically wrong about Washington in 2010, and that was a far worse year than this one by literally every measure.

[2016]

Just to recap what we have here:
# 1 An NRSC Internal which has the Race tied at 46 %
# 2 A Oregon-Based Triton Poll which has Murray at 51 % and Smiley at 46 %
# 3 A Trafalgar Poll which has Murray at 49 / Smiley 48

If this Race ends up in single digits Democrats are almost certain to lose the House.

[It’s so Joever]

I will be very smiley if Smiley wins.

[Aurelius]

When pollsters are sending their polls, they're not sending their best. They're bringing push polls, they're bringing fake polls... they're unweighted. And some, I assume, are good people. It's time for a total and complete shutdown of pollsters in this country until our country's representatives can figure out what the Hell is going on.

Seriously, if we're gonna get this flood of internal polls, can we at least get one from Fabrizio? Take that and add 5 to the Dem margin and we'll have a decent read on the race.

[Aurelius]

It's going to be a bloodbath.

The fact that you actually believe this poll tells me that you desperately, desperately need some time offline. Like, legitimately, I'm not being rude, stop tying so much of your mental wellbeing into poll results before it drives you insane. Polling was comedically wrong about Washington in 2010, and that was a far worse year than this one by literally every measure.

Some posters here are terminally online doomers. SnowLabrador has been doing this for years, across thousands of posts. You're right, but no one is gonna get him to change. Best to just put him on ignore.

[TodayJunior]

Nope. This is the biggest head fake

[MT Treasurer]

Just to recap what we have here:
# 1 An NRSC Internal which has the Race tied at 46 %
# 2 A Oregon-Based Triton Poll which has Murray at 51 % and Smiley at 46 %
# 3 A Trafalgar Poll which has Murray at 49 / Smiley 48

If this Race ends up in single digits Democrats are almost certain to lose the House.

if this race end up in single digits (let alone within 5 points), the House will be the least of Democrats' problems.

That said, I’ve long believed that if there’s one region in the country where much of (available) polling might underestimate Democratic strength this year, it’s going to be the Pacific Northwest (this also applies to the three competitive OR races). It’s not that I don’t expect some sharp rightward swings in OR/WA similar to New England, but I doubt it’s going to be this pronounced unless we’re looking at an absolute GOP tidal wave.

[GALeftist]

Sure.

[wbrocks67]

Moore Information is also the pollster who found Walker up by 4.