TX-GOV: University of Texas/Tyler: Abbott + 3 (RV) + 6 (LV)

[2016]

Abbott 50
O'Rourke 44

This is very bad for Beto with Early Voting already underway and Governor Abbott at 50 %

https://www.statesman.com/story/news/local/texas/state-bureau/2022/10/30/ut-tyler-poll-abbott-leading-orourke-by-6-points-among-likely-voters/69601154007/

[GeorgiaModerate]

I wouldn't be surprised to see a final margin in that range (3%-6%).  Hearing from a couple of colleagues in Texas that the schools sending home DNA kits to potentially identify kids has REALLY upset some people.  And yes, I know the kits weren't specifically a response to the Uvalde school shooting, but the two are undoubtedly linked in some voters' minds.

[jamestroll]

I wouldn't be surprised to see a final margin in that range (3%-6%).  Hearing from a couple of colleagues in Texas that the schools sending home DNA kits to potentially identify kids has REALLY upset some people.  And yes, I know the kits weren't specifically a response to the Uvalde school shooting, but the two are undoubtedly linked in some voters' minds.

This is just the beginning.

In 2024, I'd bet Biden will contest Texas (even if he has to pull out a few weeks before), but will not contest Florida.

[2016]

I wouldn't be surprised to see a final margin in that range (3%-6%).  Hearing from a couple of colleagues in Texas that the schools sending home DNA kits to potentially identify kids has REALLY upset some people.  And yes, I know the kits weren't specifically a response to the Uvalde school shooting, but the two are undoubtedly linked in some voters' minds.

This is just the beginning.

In 2024, I'd bet Biden will contest Texas (even if he has to pull out a few weeks before), but will not contest Florida.

Good Luck to the Democrats to win Texas Hispanics back when they attacked every Latino Voter who votes Republican as Racist. Even Bicen has done so numerous times.

Those Hispanics who will vote in the Rio Grande Valley and elect Republicans to Congress this year will never come back.

[Holmes]

I wouldn't be surprised to see a final margin in that range (3%-6%).  Hearing from a couple of colleagues in Texas that the schools sending home DNA kits to potentially identify kids has REALLY upset some people.  And yes, I know the kits weren't specifically a response to the Uvalde school shooting, but the two are undoubtedly linked in some voters' minds.

This is just the beginning.

In 2024, I'd bet Biden will contest Texas (even if he has to pull out a few weeks before), but will not contest Florida.

Good Luck to the Democrats to win Texas Hispanics back when they attacked every Latino Voter who votes Republican as Racist. Even Bicen has done so numerous times.

Those Hispanics who will vote in the Rio Grande Valley and elect Republicans to Congress this year will never come back.

You can say the same thing about Republicans and suburban voters in Houston, Austin and DFW.

[jamestroll]

I wouldn't be surprised to see a final margin in that range (3%-6%).  Hearing from a couple of colleagues in Texas that the schools sending home DNA kits to potentially identify kids has REALLY upset some people.  And yes, I know the kits weren't specifically a response to the Uvalde school shooting, but the two are undoubtedly linked in some voters' minds.

This is just the beginning.

In 2024, I'd bet Biden will contest Texas (even if he has to pull out a few weeks before), but will not contest Florida.

Good Luck to the Democrats to win Texas Hispanics back when they attacked every Latino Voter who votes Republican as Racist. Even Bicen has done so numerous times.

Those Hispanics who will vote in the Rio Grande Valley and elect Republicans to Congress this year will never come back.

I am tired of hearing about the Rio Grande Valley.

I have Texas as Likely R in 2024, but it will be more winnable than Florida.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't need TX it's wave results but I put it on my map

[2016]

I wouldn't be surprised to see a final margin in that range (3%-6%).  Hearing from a couple of colleagues in Texas that the schools sending home DNA kits to potentially identify kids has REALLY upset some people.  And yes, I know the kits weren't specifically a response to the Uvalde school shooting, but the two are undoubtedly linked in some voters' minds.

This is just the beginning.

In 2024, I'd bet Biden will contest Texas (even if he has to pull out a few weeks before), but will not contest Florida.

Good Luck to the Democrats to win Texas Hispanics back when they attacked every Latino Voter who votes Republican as Racist. Even Bicen has done so numerous times.

Those Hispanics who will vote in the Rio Grande Valley and elect Republicans to Congress this year will never come back.

I am tired of hearing about the Rio Grande Valley.

I have Texas as Likely R in 2024, but it will be more winnable than Florida.

No, it won't. It's not just the RGV, it's the Border Communities of the entire Texas/Mexico Border.

What President Biden & Mayorkas did was and is absolute RECKLESS these past two years.

Almost 5,000 - 8,000 Migrants a week crossing into Texas and Biden, Mayorkas and O'Rourke have no answer to it. I hope Abbott activates the National Guard and puts these people in detention until they have been properly vetted. This mess has to stop.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Texas is trending left, the factors driving it aren't taking a pause.