WA Sen (Trafalgar) - Murray + 1.2
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  WA Sen (Trafalgar) - Murray + 1.2
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Author Topic: WA Sen (Trafalgar) - Murray + 1.2  (Read 985 times)
BenjiG98
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« on: October 29, 2022, 07:00:03 PM »

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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2022, 07:05:54 PM »

Oh my gosh nut. We might actually flip Washington!
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2022, 07:08:31 PM »

Oh my gosh nut. We might actually flip Washington!
I seriously doubt it will be that close but I think it will be within single digits. Tiffany Smiley is a much, much better Candidate than Dino Rossi whom Murray faced in 2010.
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2022, 07:18:12 PM »

We've straight-up entered into the realm of parody.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2022, 07:19:06 PM »

Oh my gosh nut. We might actually flip Washington!

Lol no
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2022, 07:20:04 PM »

The Red Baron strikes again!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2022, 07:24:11 PM »

People react to every little poll it's in my signature it's a 303 map
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S019
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2022, 07:26:06 PM »

There goes that A rating
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Person Man
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2022, 07:28:31 PM »


Unless they really thank we are going for a R+10 election.
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Aurelius
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2022, 07:32:33 PM »

Trafalgar normally doesn't publish garbage this close to election day. Even ignoring them, we've had like 10 polls in a row showing this as a 5-8 point race. What the hell is going on?
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2022, 07:35:18 PM »

Trafalgar normally doesn't publish garbage this close to election day. Even ignoring them, we've had like 10 polls in a row showing this as a 5-8 point race. What the hell is going on?

This year's wash of indescribably bad polling has hit Washington especially hard. I genuinely can't remember if a quality firm has done a poll here.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2022, 07:35:52 PM »

Trafalgar normally doesn't publish garbage this close to election day. Even ignoring them, we've had like 10 polls in a row showing this as a 5-8 point race. What the hell is going on?

If could still probably be a 7-8 point race and still be less than 3% nationally.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2022, 07:36:04 PM »

Lol.
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Aurelius
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« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2022, 07:37:57 PM »

Trafalgar normally doesn't publish garbage this close to election day. Even ignoring them, we've had like 10 polls in a row showing this as a 5-8 point race. What the hell is going on?

This year's wash of indescribably bad polling has hit Washington especially hard. I genuinely can't remember if a quality firm has done a poll here.
I guess it's only a matter of time till we get a Center Street poll showing Murray up by 40.
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Dani Rose
danixander92
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2022, 07:39:58 PM »

Trafalgar normally doesn't publish garbage this close to election day. Even ignoring them, we've had like 10 polls in a row showing this as a 5-8 point race. What the hell is going on?

This year's wash of indescribably bad polling has hit Washington especially hard. I genuinely can't remember if a quality firm has done a poll here.

I guess it's only a matter of time till we get a Center Street poll showing Murray up by 40.

Yeah, pretty much. I just want the 8th to come so this absurdity can be over and I don't have to look at it any more. This Hurts Me.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2022, 07:40:33 PM »

Trafalgar normally doesn't publish garbage this close to election day. Even ignoring them, we've had like 10 polls in a row showing this as a 5-8 point race. What the hell is going on?

This year's wash of indescribably bad polling has hit Washington especially hard. I genuinely can't remember if a quality firm has done a poll here.
I guess it's only a matter of time till we get a Center Street poll showing Murray up by 40.

All they are showing us it's a 303 map on Twitter it's says Partisan R poll just like for Center Street Pac it says Partisan D poll but I think Shapiro can hit 60)40 to push Fetterman and I think MQK is gonna have Evers ahead 53/46 and push Barnes across just like we saw University of NV show CCM up 13

GA, and OH are gonna be too close to call and perhaps NC bur Ds should get 51 WI and PA and GA goes to Runoff and we can win OH or NC
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #16 on: October 29, 2022, 09:01:35 PM »

The sad thing is that regardless of how badly Trafalgar does this cycle, Republicans will continue to support them claiming voter fraud or whatever.  So they’ll probabkly still keep scamming campaigning and flooding the media with their fake polls for the forseeable future.
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Vosem
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« Reply #17 on: October 29, 2022, 11:35:19 PM »

This feels reminiscent of Rasmussen getting overexcited in the run-up to the 2010 midterm.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2022, 03:43:00 AM »

Ignore Trafalgar they had Ronchetti up 1.1 and MLG is up 50/42 obviously they are trying to make a red wave happen
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2022, 03:49:02 AM »

This is the one that I will be looking at when determining my post-election opinions regarding Trafalgar.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2022, 03:53:38 AM »

Murray is gonna win by 10 pts like BENNET
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2022, 05:35:45 AM »

Stop trying to make Senator Smiley happen. It's not going to happen.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2022, 10:49:41 AM »

Doesn't 538 only rate you though on if your poll had the winner correct? So even if Murrays win by 12, they would still get a "good" grade for this poll since it has her leading?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2022, 10:51:22 AM »

Trafalgar normally doesn't publish garbage this close to election day. Even ignoring them, we've had like 10 polls in a row showing this as a 5-8 point race. What the hell is going on?

It's more of GOP polls flooding the zone, like in GA

The last 5 polls of this race:

NRSC internal, Trafalgar, Triton, KAConsulting, co/efficient

The other 3 from October from SurveyUSA, Civiqs, and PPP had Murray +8, +10, +14
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