Fox 5/insider adv- Georgia: Walker +3

[Matty]

Governor:
Stacey Abrams, Democrat: 43%
Brian Kemp, Republican Incumbent: 52%
Shane Hazel, Libertarian: 1%
No Opinion/Undecided: 4%

U.S. Senate:
Herschel Walker, Republican: 48%
Raphael Warnock, Democrat Incumbent: 45%
Chase Oliver, Libertarian: 2%
No Opinion/Undecided: 5%

https://mobile.twitter.com/EWErickson/status/1586086747473051648

[Alben Barkley]

[Inmate Trump]

The morons in this country smh

[Dani Rose]

I feel like the early vote may preclude this kind of result at this point. It's not an unreasonable number, mind you, but I think the votes so far will automatically push Warnock above this.

[soundchaser]

Fox5 SLASH INSIDERADVANTAGE, folks. Important detail.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rick Scott is happy about the polls I knew something was wrong when Barnes was behind by 3 and now Fetterman is down by 3 and WARNOCK is down by 3

[Alben Barkley]

Fox5 SLASH INSIDERADVANTAGE, folks. Important detail.

Oh.

Still not great, Bob, but that changes things.

[Devils30]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

[MT Treasurer]

Holding off for now, but if a few more polls show Walker close to 50%, I’ll change my GA prediction from Warnock to Walker. If Walker wins outright in November, you’re looking at a 53R-47D or 54R-46D Senate.

[2016]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

Warnock will not get 36 % of the White Vote. Even Biden got only 30 %.

[wbrocks67]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

Herschel Walker is also apparently getting more crossover support than Brian Kemp is.

[2016]

Ridiculous to think Warnock will get more of the White Vote then Biden in 2020.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

lol.

What pollsters should be taken at face value then ?

If you tear apart the crosstabs of most data released, they're not reflective of what the racial breakdown will be on election day.. that's why you look at the topline and move on.

[Devils30]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

lol.

What pollsters should be taken at face value then ?

If you tear apart the crosstabs of most data released, they're not reflective of what the racial breakdown will be on election day.. that's why you look at the topline and move on.

NYT/Siena, ABC/WashPo, YouGov/CBS, FOX News, even Suffolk. But I am really unsure if these GOP leaning polls do much more than just make up the results.

[Matty]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

lol.

What pollsters should be taken at face value then ?

If you tear apart the crosstabs of most data released, they're not reflective of what the racial breakdown will be on election day.. that's why you look at the topline and move on.

NYT/Siena, ABC/WashPo, YouGov/CBS, FOX News, even Suffolk. But I am really unsure if these GOP leaning polls do much more than just make up the results.

All of those polls you listed are no better in accuracy than the smaller, independent outlets these days

NYt/sienna put out some straight trash in 2020, abc/wapo had Biden +17 in WI.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

lol.

What pollsters should be taken at face value then ?

If you tear apart the crosstabs of most data released, they're not reflective of what the racial breakdown will be on election day.. that's why you look at the topline and move on.

NYT/Siena, ABC/WashPo, YouGov/CBS, FOX News, even Suffolk. But I am really unsure if these GOP leaning polls do much more than just make up the results.

Please, if you want to make the suggestion that Trafalgar make up results..

Don't suggest ABC/WashPo, Fox and Siena absolutely notorious for their huge double digit misses, are pollsters that we should take at face value.

[2016]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

lol.

What pollsters should be taken at face value then ?

If you tear apart the crosstabs of most data released, they're not reflective of what the racial breakdown will be on election day.. that's why you look at the topline and move on.

NYT/Siena, ABC/WashPo, YouGov/CBS, FOX News, even Suffolk. But I am really unsure if these GOP leaning polls do much more than just make up the results.

Please, if you want to make the suggestion that Trafalgar make up results..

Don't suggest ABC/WashPo, Fox and Siena absolutely notorious for their huge double digit misses, are pollsters that we should take at face value.

In GA I am waiting for the Atlanta-Journal Constitution Poll and Landmark Communications. If they have Walker up as well then yes Warnock is likely going to lose. Also, FOX NEWS will likely have a Final Poll next week.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Holding off for now, but if a few more polls show Walker close to 50%, I’ll change my GA prediction from Warnock to Walker. If Walker wins outright in November, you’re looking at a 53R-47D or 54R-46D Senate.

It's a Runoff

[Person Man]

As the economy improves, more common folks are becoming proper gentlemen.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another failed recruit Stacy Abrams just like Nan W she was helping Warnock now she isn't helping Warnock just like Nan W was helping Ryan now she is hurting Ryan

[bilaps]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

lol.

What pollsters should be taken at face value then ?

If you tear apart the crosstabs of most data released, they're not reflective of what the racial breakdown will be on election day.. that's why you look at the topline and move on.

It's literally that simple and some people will still never learn.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warnock is definitely going to lose with 36% of the  white vote...Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, should not be taken at face value.

lol.

What pollsters should be taken at face value then ?

If you tear apart the crosstabs of most data released, they're not reflective of what the racial breakdown will be on election day.. that's why you look at the topline and move on.

It's literally that simple and some people will still never learn.

Gas Prices, Housing and the war in Ukraine and AG Garland not indicting Trump has a lot to do with a red wave if it happens, there will be no Insurrection hearings if Rs take H, I will be glad

Biden says his 40 yrs in Senate he can get Sinema to pass Voting Rights end COVID and negotiating with Putin, he and Obama gave away Crimea in 2014 I didn't vote for Biden he had that Tara Reade I voted for Bernie

[Devils30]

Again, these things are correlated. If Dems are running strong in white suburbia, they probably are winning by enough votes in Cobb, Gwinnett, Fulton to win for Warnock or at the very least avoid a runoff.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ga/georgia_trump_vs_biden-6974.html

Wouldn’t be first false late momentum for GOP here. These same pollsters created an illusion for Trump.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

My hope for holding GA is that Warnock forces a runoff and that barely Republicans clinch the Senate (let's net 2 seats) - this would ensure that the race is between Warnock and Walker. In that case, I think Warnock could win. At this stage, I think that could be the best that Democrats can hope for.

[wbrocks67]

I mean, maybe Pollster can answer - but also in general - how the hell does InsiderAdvantage continuously poll 550 people in a single day? How is that even possible?