NY SLINGSHOT STRATEGY GOV HOCHUL +6

[Eraserhead]

HOCHUL isn't losing

What makes you be so sure?

Probably the fact that she's lead in every poll ever done but one a while ago and it's New York State. I'm just worried about what her underperforming would do to other Democrats on the ballot around the state.

[wbrocks67]

To be fair, the only poll from what I can tell recently that actually had a somewhat realistic party ID sample was the Siena +11 poll. (would have to take a look at the Civiqs/Bold Decisions ones)

Most of the ones that have shown it closer, like this, SurveyUSA, Q-Pac, etc. have had oddly more GOP samples, but like Pollster said before, a lot of this seems likely towards nonresponse bias.

(i.e. the SurveyUSA sample in late August was over D+20 and the October sample was D+8)

[sg0508]

She's got a "D" next to her name in a very blue state.  From what it sounds like, many downstate will hold their nose and click the dial next to her name because they just won't accept a republican leading the state, but that doesn't say much.

You have to wonder if she can really make it better over the next four years and I think the relationship with Adams is a problem too. 

She will win, but it's going to be a hold-nose vote and I doubt many in NY have confidence in her in general.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

HOCHUL is gonna win by 10 pts or more National surveys have Ds outvoting Rs in Early voting 47(35, Ds are blowing away Rs in NY, CA and IL

[Duke of York]

HOCHUL is gonna win by 10 pts or more National surveys have Ds outvoting Rs in Early voting 47(35, Ds are blowing away Rs in NY, CA and IL

I hope you’re right. It would be nice to see her have a win on par with 2018.

[sg0508]

HOCHUL is gonna win by 10 pts or more National surveys have Ds outvoting Rs in Early voting 47(35, Ds are blowing away Rs in NY, CA and IL

I hope you’re right. It would be nice to see her have a win on par with 2018.

What about her do you like, or is it that she's got a "D" next to her name like I alluded to before?

Every time I see or hear her speak, she has a deer in the headlights look and sounds lost. "Today, I support this...tomorrow...yes, we'll fight crime". 

She and Adams sound exactly alike and that's not a compliment

[Duke of York]

HOCHUL is gonna win by 10 pts or more National surveys have Ds outvoting Rs in Early voting 47(35, Ds are blowing away Rs in NY, CA and IL

I hope you’re right. It would be nice to see her have a win on par with 2018.

What about her do you like, or is it that she's got a "D" next to her name like I alluded to before?

Every time I see or hear her speak, she has a deer in the headlights look and sounds lost. "Today, I support this...tomorrow...yes, we'll fight crime". 

She and Adams sound exactly alike and that's not a compliment

She doesn’t come off as an out of touch elitist like Cuomo did.

[Eraserhead]

Yeah, she's pretty awful. I hope she doesn't run for another term after this.

[Duke of York]

Yeah, she's pretty awful. I hope she doesn't run for another term after this.

I don't think she's been a bad leader.

[Calthrina950]

If Hochul wins this year, and we assume that her term goes badly, is it possible that Republicans finally manage to win in 2026? Or will she merely be ousted in a primary and succeeded by a more likeable Democrat?

[Duke of York]

If Hochul wins this year, and we assume that her term goes badly, is it possible that Republicans finally manage to win in 2026? Or will she merely be ousted in a primary and succeeded by a more likeable Democrat?

I don't think it will but the most likely person I could see ousting her in a primary is Tish  James.

[Calthrina950]

If Hochul wins this year, and we assume that her term goes badly, is it possible that Republicans finally manage to win in 2026? Or will she merely be ousted in a primary and succeeded by a more likeable Democrat?

I don't think it will but the most likely person I could see ousting her in a primary is Tish  James.

But James isn't that popular herself, if I'm correct.

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, she's pretty awful. I hope she doesn't run for another term after this.

I don't really understand some people who don't like her - what has she even done to make people have such strong opinions? She seems like she's just been a mainstream normal Dem up to this point.

[Duke of York]

If Hochul wins this year, and we assume that her term goes badly, is it possible that Republicans finally manage to win in 2026? Or will she merely be ousted in a primary and succeeded by a more likeable Democrat?

I don't think it will but the most likely person I could see ousting her in a primary is Tish  James.

But James isn't that popular herself, if I'm correct.

Oh yes she is. If she was the nominee shed win easily.