AZ-SEN (Insider Advantage): Kelly +2
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  AZ-SEN (Insider Advantage): Kelly +2
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Author Topic: AZ-SEN (Insider Advantage): Kelly +2  (Read 510 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 26, 2022, 03:41:41 PM »

Kelly (D) 45%
Masters (R) 43%
Victor (L) 6%

https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/2022-arizona-election-poll-lake-leads-governors-race-senate-race-tightens?taid=63598d198994e30001580191&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=trueanthem&utm_source=twitter

They cooked up a Lake +11 win but still couldn't get Masters a lead!
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2022, 03:42:44 PM »

Masters is finished. Next time don't nominate unlikeable, elitist Thiel bros GOP.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2022, 03:48:21 PM »

I think given this that the best Masters can do is Trumps 20 performance.
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Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2022, 03:58:49 PM »

Honestly, I don't get how Masters can run 9 points behind Lake. I think it's just too much.

Also, without crosstabs, I don't know how to interpretate the undecided share of vote. If Lake is doing 9 points better than Masters with just 2% of undecided voters in the Governor race, maybe Masters has some room to grow since there are 6% of undecided voters in the Senate race. Just saying, not sure of that.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2022, 04:05:57 PM »

Honestly, I don't get how Masters can run 9 points behind Lake. I think it's just too much.

Also, without crosstabs, I don't know how to interpretate the undecided share of vote. If Lake is doing 9 points better than Masters with just 2% of undecided voters in the Governor race, maybe Masters has some room to grow since there are 6% of undecided voters in the Senate race. Just saying, not sure of that.

IA sometimes refuses to post crosstabs, but even when they do, they're usually a hot mess anyway.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2022, 04:08:41 PM »

Honestly, I don't get how Masters can run 9 points behind Lake. I think it's just too much.

The answer to this riddle is that Lake is not leading by anywhere near 11 points.
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