NV: University of Nevada: Sen. CCM (D) +13
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  NV: University of Nevada: Sen. CCM (D) +13		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NV: University of Nevada: Sen. CCM (D) +13  (Read 1199 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 26, 2022, 02:20:54 PM »
New Poll: Nevada Senator by University of Nevada on 2022-10-19

Summary: D: 52%, R: 39%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2022, 02:22:29 PM »
Beautiful poll!
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2022, 02:23:07 PM »
This won't age well... just sayin'.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2022, 02:26:37 PM »
Last poll was 48-27. Does 538 have an F grade?
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Gracile
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2022, 02:27:15 PM »
Lol, looks like we have a 2008 redux incoming!
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NYDem
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« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2022, 02:28:07 PM »
Junk it.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2022, 02:28:22 PM »
Quote from: kwabbit on October 26, 2022, 02:26:37 PM
Last poll was 48-27. Does 538 have an F grade?

They don't; any pollster that would get below C/D is just automatically excluded from the model.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2022, 02:29:10 PM »
Godly poll.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2022, 02:29:40 PM »
Wow this is a chaotic poll lol

Tied GCB, Sisolak +2 and Masto +13
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soundchaser
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« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2022, 02:31:28 PM »
Good poll for Laxalt imo.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2022, 02:32:25 PM »
Obligatory "I can buy CCM at 52"
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Devils30
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« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2022, 02:33:18 PM »
Was about time to counter the garbage from Trafalgar with bigger garbage!
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jamestroll
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« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2022, 02:35:22 PM »
This is a fake poll. Why even post it?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2022, 02:35:52 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on October 26, 2022, 02:33:18 PM
Was about time to counter the garbage from Trafalgar with bigger garbage!

after the republican-commissioned trash that has come out over the last week, i'm okay with this
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Pollster
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2022, 02:45:32 PM »
Given the oddities (the closeness of the other races, CCM getting 17% of Republicans but losing independents) I'm going to wager there's some kind of coding error here.
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Person Man
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« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2022, 03:00:42 PM »
I wish
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kwabbit
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« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2022, 03:02:53 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on October 26, 2022, 02:45:32 PM
Given the oddities (the closeness of the other races, CCM getting 17% of Republicans but losing independents) I'm going to wager there's some kind of coding error here.

I’m not sure about that. The previous poll had Sisolak +12, CCM +21. Similar swings in both races. I think it’s just an oddity of the pollster.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2022, 03:04:19 PM »
Laxalt+8 compared to their last poll #momentum

I always admire pollsters willing to put out a result that is significantly different from the consensus, but this is one pretty odd. We might be referring to this as the new gold standard soon though, who knows!
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #18 on: October 26, 2022, 03:05:55 PM »
The networks should use a laugh track when discussing this poll.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: October 26, 2022, 03:08:47 PM »
nv polls are notorious for underestimating democrats though

Quote from: UncleSam on October 26, 2022, 03:04:19 PM
We might be referring to this as the new gold standard soon though, who knows!

No....
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: October 26, 2022, 03:10:30 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on October 26, 2022, 03:08:47 PM
nv polls are notorious for underestimating democrats though

Quote from: UncleSam on October 26, 2022, 03:04:19 PM
We might be referring to this as the new gold standard soon though, who knows!


Ha yes

No....
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #21 on: October 26, 2022, 03:11:26 PM »
This is the Universe's way of balancing out the InsiderAdvantage poll in AZ-GOV with Lake up 11.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #22 on: October 26, 2022, 03:17:47 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on October 26, 2022, 03:08:47 PM
nv polls are notorious for underestimating democrats though

Quote from: UncleSam on October 26, 2022, 03:04:19 PM
We might be referring to this as the new gold standard soon though, who knows!

No....
Lol I was being sarcastic.

But you do never know until the results come in. I strongly suspect this pollster will look very silly, even if CCM ekes one out.
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Horus
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« Reply #23 on: October 26, 2022, 04:16:34 PM »
Laughable. CCM is not favored.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #24 on: October 26, 2022, 04:21:18 PM »
Quote from: UncleSam on October 26, 2022, 03:17:47 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on October 26, 2022, 03:08:47 PM
nv polls are notorious for underestimating democrats though

Quote from: UncleSam on October 26, 2022, 03:04:19 PM
We might be referring to this as the new gold standard soon though, who knows!

No....
Lol I was being sarcastic.

But you do never know until the results come in. I strongly suspect this pollster will look very silly, even if CCM ekes one out.

I really disagree with that — we absolutely do know in some cases. Common sense dictates that Grassley will not win by 3 and that Cortez Masto is not ahead by 13 points.
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