TX GOV TX UNIVISION POLL GOV G.Abbott +4

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.univision.com/univision-news/politics/midterm-elections-nevada-senate-governor-hispanic-voters-univision-poll
GOV Abbott 46
BETO O 42
Undecided 12

Latinos

Abbott 28.
BETO 58

[MT Treasurer]

Considering this one, it’s very telling that the best they could manage in NV was a +2 lead for Cortez Masto and Sisolak. Have some oceanfront property in Billings to sell you if you believe Abbott is at 28% with Latinos.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Considering this one, it’s very telling that the best they could manage in NV was a +2 lead for Cortez Masto and Sisolak. Have some oceanfront property in Billings to sell you if you believe Abbott is at 28% with Latinos.

Yeah, Abbott is definitely not at 28% with Latinos. Not saying anything about their NV results, but Abbott is certainly doing better than that among Latinos. Abbott is likely headed for a higher single digits win at this point. Though I wonder what their track record is with Texas in particular, in regards to top-line figures.

[soundchaser]

Considering this one, it’s very telling that the best they could manage in NV was a +2 lead for Cortez Masto and Sisolak. Have some oceanfront property in Billings to sell you if you believe Abbott is at 28% with Latinos.

Yeah, Abbott is definitely not at 28% with Latinos. Not saying anything about their NV results, but Abbott is certainly doing better than that among Latinos. Abbott is likely headed for a higher single digits win at this point. Though I wonder what their track record is with Texas in particular, in regards to top-line figures.

Slightly overestimated Biden's support with Texas Latinos in 2020 (they had him winning 66%; he eventually got somewhere around 60%).

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Considering this one, it’s very telling that the best they could manage in NV was a +2 lead for Cortez Masto and Sisolak. Have some oceanfront property in Billings to sell you if you believe Abbott is at 28% with Latinos.

Yeah, Abbott is definitely not at 28% with Latinos. Not saying anything about their NV results, but Abbott is certainly doing better than that among Latinos. Abbott is likely headed for a higher single digits win at this point. Though I wonder what their track record is with Texas in particular, in regards to top-line figures.

Slightly overestimated Biden's support with Texas Latinos in 2020 (they had him winning 66%; he eventually got somewhere around 60%).

Interesting and thanks for the info. But I meant the total statewide result, not just Latinos but the overall electorate.

[Southern Reactionary Dem]

Pay attention to Beto's percentage, not margin. That's the only number that matters in these polls and that's the only number that will end up being accurate. For some reason, R voters have a habit of lying to pollsters about being undecided or third party voters. Just look at the RCP averages vs actual results in 2020.... that pattern applies to nearly every single race across this country, including the presidential in TX. The D% is almost always accurate to within a point or two.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pay attention to Beto's percentage, not margin. That's the only number that matters in these polls and that's the only number that will end up being accurate. For some reason, R voters have a habit of lying to pollsters about being undecided or third party voters. Just look at the RCP averages vs actual results in 2020.... that pattern applies to nearly every single race across this country, including the presidential in TX. The D% is almost always accurate to within a point or two.

You know we won all the close races in 2020 and won AK and NY 19 it's false that there are more R voters than Ds we won the PVI 50/45 and 80)75 M