Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[win win]

r house d senate
confirmed

[ProgressiveModerate]

Was playing with YAPMS, my guess is the final house will be 221R - 214D, with CA being the biggest question mark. Dem House is def possible, but I’d still rather be the gop.

This is going to be chaotic either way, and close enough that a single death of defection can have huge implications.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Anotha one

https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/1590228102646489094?s=20&t=xkxT4nsoFtVrOnUf...

Never tinker with Evers's chances.

[rhg2052]

Warnock now at 49.45

[Crumpets]

Uh, anyone know what the deal in MT-01 is? D+8 with over half the vote in...

Not making any predictions or anything, but MT-01 is a home to both new "remote work" Dems and a big college population that would have been much smaller in 2020. So, there's a decent chance whatever models were being used to figure out who would be voting here could have missed both of those groups.

[Cashew]

In other news, looks like Maryland and Missouri have voted for legal weed, while the Dakotas and Arkansas have voted against.

I thought South Dakota just did vote to legalize it a couple years ago though???

Activist judges struck it down.

[Stockdale for Veep]

EVERS ! The crypt-keeper never loses!

And no supermajority in the legislature.

For a few more years "Rhodesia but with snow" is held at bay.

[7,052,770]

So is the only chance of a Barnes victory based on getting a bunch more votes out there in Milwaukee?

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/DrewSav/status/1590228893210140672

[soundchaser]

I made a quick rudimentary calculation of the national vote.
It's probably D+2, but discounting Florida and New York City it's about D+5.

Congrats to Morning Consult for being the only pollster who got it right.

Online trackers may be the future. Civiqs was awfully close too.

[Crumpets]

Keep celebrating for now. Ron DeSantis will defeat Joe Biden in 2024.

I have no doubt that if he gets nominated, Ron DeSantis will defeat Joe Biden in Florida in 2024.

[soundchaser]

McCarthy has to be shaking in his boots right now. I don't see how he becomes speaker if the House is this close.

[philly09]

Only 246 votes separating Williams-Conole in NY-22/

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

ABC PROJECTS THAT EVERS HOLDS ON TO WISCONSIN GOVERNOR.

So much for Tim 'Republicans will never lose another election' Michels', begone MAGAtics!

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

So, so utterly relieved by many of the results tonight, particularly in the gubernatorial races. I gotta head to bed, but one last massive thank you to the voters who came through in a way that I was really doubting they would at the end.

Also, polling industry! Mostly vindicated! That's a nice change!

[Alben Barkley]

Starting to wish GA got rid of their run-off rule between 2020 and now, haha.

[ProgressiveModerate]

McCarthy has to be shaking in his boots right now. I don't see how he becomes speaker if the House is this close.

It would be interesting to see if somehow moderate Ds and Rs could strike a deal to elect someone pretty “nonpartisan” as a speaker.

SPEAKER MARY PELTOLA.

Half joking

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/politicoelex/status/1590227899226869760?s=20&t=gpZU8aYl5...

[ultraviolet]

I think, if CCM and Kelly both pull it out, I'll have called...every state in Senate and Governor's correctly in my Atlas predictions? That's the real victory here tonight, folks.

Same except I picked Laura Kelly to lose. Looks like she's gonna win, no? Surprised we haven't heard more about her tonight

[Schiff for Senate]

This election actually feels a lot like 2020, right down to Florida/Miami-Dade being a massive disappointment but hope being kept alive elsewhere.

It also feels a bit like 2004 with an old school coalition carrying Fetterman to victory.

Sadly, the formerly blue counties in Southwestern PA - right around Fetterman's home turf of Allegheny County - are gone for the Democrats, and Oz won them all. In fact, he won them all by solid margins. In 2018, Casey managed a win in Beaver County, and held Barletta below 60% in all the other Southwest PA counties as well (even Katie McGinty in 2016, who LOST statewide, managed to hold Toomey below 60% in every Southwest PA county) - this time, pretty much all of Southwest PA (except for Allegheny, of course, and Washington, which actually saw a pretty mild swing to the right) gave Oz over 60%.

[ExSky]

Starting to wish GA got rid of their run-off rule between 2020 and now, haha.

Without Kemp on the ballot Walker will wilt away in the runoff. And if Cortez Masto holds there will be a wave of optimism for the Dems.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Kathy Hochul massively underperformed my expectations.

But at least Lee Zeldin lost. Sucks about some of these House seats though.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Idk about y'all but I'm gonna be making some tea and will sleep like a baby tonight whenever I decide to hit the hay. With the way that the East has been going, sans the Florida Reich, I'm genuinely optimistic about California, Oregon, Washington and (WTH?!) Alaska at this point.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Jahana Hayes has won reelection in CT-05, effectively ending any chances of GOP House representation in New England for the 118th congress.

[Logical]

I wonder if the combination of COVID and conservative boomer migration to Florida have fatally weakened Rs in the Midwest.