Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 309036 times)
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1450 on: November 08, 2022, 08:26:53 PM »

Texas gov doesn’t look too bad either… Beto is going to lose but he’s not doing that much worse than Biden did in the early vote.

I really hope we can pull off an upset in that AG race
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EliteLX
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« Reply #1451 on: November 08, 2022, 08:26:54 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 08:31:12 PM by Brittain33 »

Red avatars furiously excited about anything NOVA area.. the epitome of mirage.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1452 on: November 08, 2022, 08:26:55 PM »

The blessed needle still has the Senate in toss-up range, but tilting slightly D.

I think that'll change once we get to Nevada and Arizona. I expect Republicans to do better there.

Somewhat agree, with the caveat that recent-wave Mexicans and Central Americans aren’t interchangeable with Caribbean Latinos. We just have to wait and see.

They aren't. At all. They weren't in 2020 and they won't be now. From what I saw exit polls looked pretty good for us in AZ.
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win win
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« Reply #1453 on: November 08, 2022, 08:26:59 PM »

needle says georgia is +1.3 R
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #1454 on: November 08, 2022, 08:27:46 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 08:31:53 PM by Brittain33 »

Red avatars furiously excited about anything NOVA area.. the epitome of mirage.

They also have NH and well... the entire country except for FL.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #1455 on: November 08, 2022, 08:27:54 PM »

It would seem to me that Kemp/Warnock voters (i.e., Buckhead Bettys) would be more apt to vote early.  I doubt the margin separating Kemp/Walker holds up as more ED comes in.  
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1456 on: November 08, 2022, 08:27:55 PM »

Imagine actually getting out of bed, driving to the polls today, and casting your vote for... Herschel Walker.

Even more than with Trump, I just don't understand it.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1457 on: November 08, 2022, 08:28:32 PM »

For all the drama the early impression seems to be that the conventional wisdom over the summer that the Republicans will win the House but not by any impressive margin and the Democrats either break even or add in the Senate is the likely scenario
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« Reply #1458 on: November 08, 2022, 08:28:35 PM »

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H. Ross Peron
General Mung Beans
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« Reply #1459 on: November 08, 2022, 08:28:37 PM »

Is the Florida massacre the result of a bunch of Midwestern Republicans moving there?

And if so, what impact does their absence have on the Rust Belt elections?

In addition to all the things pushing the Cubans to the right, I think some of it might just be generational turnover. What was a big Greatest+Silent Generation population in Florida is now a Boomer population, and specifically one that has watched Florida over the last couple decades and thought "yes, gimme some of that."

If you count early retirees (Long Island cops and firefighters for instance), we are starting to get an influx of Gen Xers too.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1460 on: November 08, 2022, 08:28:43 PM »

Not a particularly huge slice of the vote tonight but Fetterman basically putting up Sanders numbers among the 18-29 crowd.

Warnock and Fetterman both above 70 with Zoomers has to be setting off alarm bells for the GOP. The only Republican saving grace may be their low turnout.

Of course, with the caveat that this could be said about the youth vote going back to about George McGovern.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #1461 on: November 08, 2022, 08:28:49 PM »


Won't be enough to avoid a runoff if the Libertarian keeps pulling 2%.
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Convicted Felon Donald Trump
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« Reply #1462 on: November 08, 2022, 08:28:52 PM »



This is why I’m feeling pessimistic.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1463 on: November 08, 2022, 08:28:54 PM »


And the Libertarian candidate is currently at 1.6%. So that'd probably be runoff territory.
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Aurelius
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« Reply #1464 on: November 08, 2022, 08:28:57 PM »

DeSantis leading by 3 points in Palm Beach! This is a true landslide. Closing in on a 17% lead too.
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Crackerjack McJohnson
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« Reply #1465 on: November 08, 2022, 08:29:41 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 08:31:43 PM by Brittain33 »

Red avatars furiously excited about anything NOVA area.. the epitome of mirage.

And you'd be furiously excited over good Florida areas.  You know how this works bud don't call the kettle black.
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LostFellow
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« Reply #1466 on: November 08, 2022, 08:29:50 PM »

NYT projection is showing Rubio (+17) outperforming Young (+15) based off the votes so far... I don't think anyone expected that! Young number seems too low, but just shows how (non-atlas) red Florida is this election.
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Aurelius
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« Reply #1467 on: November 08, 2022, 08:29:52 PM »

Ralston has been having a normal one on Twitter all afternoon. Could this be the election that breaks his reputation?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1468 on: November 08, 2022, 08:29:58 PM »

Two towns fully reporting in Maine, both very rural, and the D margin is like 10 points better than Biden’s…
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #1469 on: November 08, 2022, 08:30:01 PM »

Interesting that Blue avatars keep posting about Florida and ignoring the rest of the country.
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Badger
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« Reply #1470 on: November 08, 2022, 08:30:05 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 08:31:30 PM by Brittain33 »

Red avatars furiously excited about anything NOVA area.. the epitome of mirage.

You seem perfectly normal and nice.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #1471 on: November 08, 2022, 08:30:08 PM »

Is the Florida massacre the result of a bunch of Midwestern Republicans moving there?

And if so, what impact does their absence have on the Rust Belt elections?

Those Republicans leaving bluer states have to settle somewhere.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1472 on: November 08, 2022, 08:30:11 PM »

Ryan leading 57/43
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1473 on: November 08, 2022, 08:30:16 PM »

Interesting that Blue avatars keep posting about Florida and ignoring the rest of the country.

They have gotten very quiet.
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Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #1474 on: November 08, 2022, 08:30:21 PM »

Big drop from Pittsburgh country:

Allegheny Co. -- With 27% in, Fetterman leads 84-15 (130,239 - 22,578)
They should install road signs on the Allegheny county border, saying "Welcome to the People's Republic of Jagoff".
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