Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Why are people voting for a year and a half of absolutely no government (nobody will pass a budget) and useless impeachment attempts on Biden?

[Vespucci]

Hard to judge from turnout reports, but...did literally anyone have Barnes and Masters both winning?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Honestly I feel like we have a mix of posts "from the experts" here and some are far more informative than others.

Stats about raw numbers and vote totals are things that really should be taken seriously, especially when put into context and considered in comparison to historical elections.

On the flip side, you have a lot of people just screaming "candidate X is screwed" without providing any real evidence to back it up.

And as always, just a reminder that even in the states that offer EDay partisan breakdown, that can't always tell you everything. Same goes for turnout; you can have high or low turnout but in a lot of places it can be unclear who that benefits.

I also think there's a bit of bias in the numbers that are being tweeted about vs those not being tweeted about. For example, someone like Patrick Ruffini has had a very clear narrative this entire cycle so ofc is going to share numbers that endorse that narrative while holding back the numbers that don't. Just because a certain stat isn't shared doesn't mean it isn't important.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Was that a server upgrade?

I hope so.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1590082583626326016?s=21&t=2_eHKf...

STOP THE COUNT

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Why are people voting for a year and a half of absolutely no government (nobody will pass a budget) and useless impeachment attempts on Biden?

Vibes.

[Aurelius]

https://twitter.com/ForzaAzzurri112/status/1590069299971883008

[Aurelius]

Why are people voting for a year and a half of absolutely no government (nobody will pass a budget) and useless impeachment attempts on Biden?

🙄

Move along, the adults are having a discussion.

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590085849781129216?t=mQa2P1EjwPVJiBw_...

Laxalt +5

[ProgressiveModerate]

Hard to judge from turnout reports, but...did literally anyone have Barnes and Masters both winning?

No, but given polarization and also just looking at who the party bases are in WI and AZ, all these people saying Kelly would win by 4 as Johnson won by 6 didn't really make a lot of sense.

Yes, universal swing isn't real, but there still are national correlations which would make it hard for AZ to vote significantly to the left of WI in a midterm election.

[Eraserhead]

Better be a lot of mail! NV is not looking great.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/ForzaAzzurri112/status/1590069299971883008

It was an open seat, it seems? That made an R flip much easier, provided that happens...

[President Johnson]

Why are people voting for a year and a half of absolutely no government (nobody will pass a budget) and useless impeachment attempts on Biden?

'Cuz inflation, the border and crime, and Republicans are all going to cure the ills overnight.

[MillennialModerate]

Hard to judge from turnout reports, but...did literally anyone have Barnes and Masters both winning?

LOL. $100 for you if Barnes wins.

Not happening

[South Dakota Democrat]

Was that a server upgrade?

Let's hope so.  That was the most terrifying four minutes of my life!

Remember 2016 when the site was down?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Why are people voting for a year and a half of absolutely no government (nobody will pass a budget) and useless impeachment attempts on Biden?

🙄

Move along, the adults are having a talk.

About how Guam is entirely representative of the national environment and that Barnes/Masters is a possible outcome?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Just voted. No line. Voter 385 in my precinct.

[7,052,770]

Was that a server upgrade?

Let's hope so.  That was the most terrifying four minutes of my life!

Remember 2016 when the site was down?

Probably a good thing in hindsight

[Zenobiyl]

Looking good so far, though the only race I’m really sweating is IL Supreme Court

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Why are people voting for a year and a half of absolutely no government (nobody will pass a budget) and useless impeachment attempts on Biden?

🙄

Move along, the adults are having a talk.

About how Guam is entirely representative of the national environment and that Barnes/Masters is a possible outcome?

"Guam allegedly fits the national mood" was not on my bingo card for Atlas on Election Day, not gonna lie...

[bilaps]

+14k for Reps in Clark. Total in urban NV with mail,ev and ED it's 8,5k plus for Reps without rural numbers today.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Looking good so far, though the only race I’m really sweating is IL Supreme Court

Illinois is interesting because there are a lot of dominoes that all fall at once given the abundance of Biden + 10-15 seats, the state Supreme Court, and a few row offices. The GOP may also have a very very small chance at at least 1 chamber of the legislature which would probably fall at around the same time.

[Vespucci]

Hard to judge from turnout reports, but...did literally anyone have Barnes and Masters both winning?

LOL. $100 for you if Barnes wins.

Not happening

I don't actually expect him to win, but some people were expecting low Midwestern turnout, which doesn't seem to be happening especially in comparison to D turnout reports in NV and AZ.

[MT Treasurer]

OPEN THE ATLAS PREDICTIONS PAGE AGAIN

I thought I still had time to update my gubernatorial map

[oldtimer]

Looking good so far, though the only race I’m really sweating is IL Supreme Court

Illinois is interesting because there are a lot of dominoes that all fall at once given the abundance of Biden + 10-15 seats, the state Supreme Court, and a few row offices. The GOP may also have a very very small chance at at least 1 chamber of the legislature which would probably fall at around the same time.

Given Biden is unpopular in Illinois I wondered why Pritzker was coasting in the opinion polls.