Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[emailking]

There is reason to doom for Dems. We always do WORSE than the polls show

Not always. Just recently.

[soundchaser]

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think that is why most posters are inclined towards pessimism for whoever they support. Especially Dem posters, but also R posters to some degree.

There is reason to doom for Dems. We always do WORSE than the polls show. While Republicans frequently exceed expectations. GOP canidates can blunder all over the place with terrible moral failings and basically admit to things that would be political suicide for Dems - and get away with it.
You have Dem judges making sure Dems play fair - whole GOP judges allow Republicans to bulldoze our democracy …shall I go on?

Yes, remember when the Dems underperformed in Georgia last year?

Molinaro and Begich are looking forward to their re-elections tonight.

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1590074519355432960?s=20&t=JRJvmE6...
Row row row your boat gently down the stream...

Nevada Dems are toast then

[Lief 🗽]

NV and AZ are both likely done at this point.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

NV and AZ are both likely done at this point.

The polls haven't closed and Kelly has a 0% chance of re-election? Lol.

[President Johnson]

NV and AZ are both likely done at this point.

You think based off these turnout numbers the Democrats are finished there?

[GeorgiaModerate]

We always do WORSE than the polls show.

Only for those with short memories.  2012 wasn't that long ago.

[MikeIrvine]

NV and AZ are both likely done at this point.

Why is NV done? This guy has said repeatedly the margin shrinks over the day, there's likely more outstanding D ballots than R, and it doesn't count mail received today or over the next few AND ballots dropped off today (which wasn't a thing in 2020 and skews D)

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

https://twitter.com/ChristianHeiens/status/1590068716120571905
More bad news.

[BenjiG98]

NV and AZ are both likely done at this point.

Why is NV done? This guy has said repeatedly the margin shrinks over the day, there's likely more outstanding D ballots than R, and it doesn't count mail received today or over the next few AND ballots dropped off today (which wasn't a thing in 2020 and skews D)

NV is done because this hack says it is. That's how elections work.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     NV is looking bad for Dems. I wouldn't write them off in AZ yet.

[MillennialModerate]

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think that is why most posters are inclined towards pessimism for whoever they support. Especially Dem posters, but also R posters to some degree.

There is reason to doom for Dems. We always do WORSE than the polls show. While Republicans frequently exceed expectations. GOP canidates can blunder all over the place with terrible moral failings and basically admit to things that would be political suicide for Dems - and get away with it.
You have Dem judges making sure Dems play fair - whole GOP judges allow Republicans to bulldoze our democracy …shall I go on?

Yes, remember when the Dems underperformed in Georgia last year?

The ONE exception in post-tea party America (in races that matter not special elections in a random district that means nothing)

[Zache]

Isn't it just like 12:25 in the west?

[BenjiG98]

I'm going to f*** off this site the rest of the week. You people are infuriatingly dumb. Let the results come in before you idiotically make every doomer prediction under the son.

[Kamala's side hoe]

Isn't it just like 12:25 in the west?

Mhm. NV looks bad for Dems at the moment but the results won't be finalized until much later this week because of VBM.

[Unelectable Bystander]

I’ve been banging the drum on Arizona for a while now and at this point I’m almost sure it flips unless there’s a huge change or Masters does far worse than Trump with independents. This is my reasoning, something that I think has been apparent for weeks:

Early voting composition almost exactly matched 2020, but E day composition will be more republican than 2020. This 4-1 advantage is very close to what happened in the primaries. Additionally, E day turnout will be a greater share than it was in 2020 (the magic number is 180k) and the apparent bleeding with Hispanic turnout.

[new_patomic]

Dane County Clerk expects turnout to exceed 85%:

https://twitter.com/aligarfield_/status/1590059543685660672?s=20&t=oswgMjrv1...

Wis Dems with Dane County  Me with my Toothpaste

Squeezing out every last drop

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/ChristianHeiens/status/1590068716120571905
More bad news.

Actually had her winning coming in to this night. If true, seeing her dumpstered would be icing on the cake. One of the worst House Dems.

[TheTide]

https://twitter.com/ChristianHeiens/status/1590068716120571905
More bad news.

I had to think about this for a few seconds, because Atlas colours and MSM colours etc.

[new_patomic]

Some of the previous tweets from that account were talking about comparing turnout to the 2021 gubernatorial race, which seems weird to me.

Wouldn't we expect turnout to equal or surpass the gubernatorial election anyway?

[Florida Man for Crime]

Dane County Clerk expects turnout to exceed 85%:

https://twitter.com/aligarfield_/status/1590059543685660672?s=20&t=oswgMjrv1...

That would be very good, could mean Mandela Barnes does actually have some sort of a chance.

[Eraserhead]

NV and AZ are both likely done at this point.

I wouldn't go that far yet, my friend. That said I'm not loving what I'm seeing from them.

[Associate Justice PiT]

https://twitter.com/ChristianHeiens/status/1590068716120571905
More bad news.

     My intuition told me Spanberger might fall, but I didn't have the guts to predict that in my House map.

[Florida Man for Crime]

https://twitter.com/ChristianHeiens/status/1590068716120571905
More bad news.

Notice how he does not post any actual specific numbers, he just makes a broad brush assertion with no particular data to back it up.

[Lief 🗽]

https://twitter.com/patrickruffini/status/1590080542472515584?s=46&t=jyEqo1z...