Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 306453 times)
Brittain33
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« Reply #325 on: November 08, 2022, 03:08:55 PM »

Lots of mockery of the idea you can extrapolate results from an isolated island territory but I'm with the people of Guam right now and I'm hearing a lot of anger about the "woke agenda" and "Brandonflation"... take that how you will...

I knew we were screwed when I saw the Chamorrx for Biden swag
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #326 on: November 08, 2022, 03:09:07 PM »

Lots of mockery of the idea you can extrapolate results from an isolated island territory but I'm with the people of Guam right now and I'm hearing a lot of anger about the "woke agenda" and "Brandonflation"... take that how you will...

I won't.
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #327 on: November 08, 2022, 03:10:32 PM »


Some actual results

So apparently Shaheen won Dixville Notch 4 votes to 1, so Hassan is over-performing with 5-0. Seems to confirm that Dems will hold up well in states with white college educated voters like NH. 100% reliable indicator.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #328 on: November 08, 2022, 03:10:53 PM »

Based on the random Twitter reports… which of the big 4 are we feeling best about ?
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #329 on: November 08, 2022, 03:11:24 PM »

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #330 on: November 08, 2022, 03:11:51 PM »

Based on the random Twitter reports… which of the big 4 are we feeling best about ?

Pennsylvania
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #331 on: November 08, 2022, 03:12:11 PM »

Based on the random Twitter reports… which of the big 4 are we feeling best about ?
Pennsylvania.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #332 on: November 08, 2022, 03:12:27 PM »

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

You've made your opinion known.  No need to keep repeating it.
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« Reply #333 on: November 08, 2022, 03:13:02 PM »

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think we all know that it's going to be a bad night, it's just that the results for a non-voting delegate in Guam (especially when Democrats did well in other races there) aren't a sign of it.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #334 on: November 08, 2022, 03:13:07 PM »



Row row row your boat gently down the stream...
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #335 on: November 08, 2022, 03:13:20 PM »

Based on the random Twitter reports… which of the big 4 are we feeling best about ?

Pennsylvania seems astoundingly solid, given the horror surrounding it these last two weeks. If the turnout reports in Wisconsin remain true, we might - might - be in for a pleasant dark horse surprise there, too.
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #336 on: November 08, 2022, 03:13:24 PM »

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I don't see how we can't extrapolate the early NH results into a 303 map not a 242 map its WAVE INSURANCE.
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emailking
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« Reply #337 on: November 08, 2022, 03:13:24 PM »

The thread's probably going to end up 500 pages. This will all be in the noise anyway in the long run.
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #338 on: November 08, 2022, 03:14:00 PM »

Lots of mockery of the idea you can extrapolate results from an isolated island territory but I'm with the people of Guam right now and I'm hearing a lot of anger about the "woke agenda" and "Brandonflation"... take that how you will...

[jacob wohl voice] "i just left a hipster coffee shop in deep blue Dededo..."
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #339 on: November 08, 2022, 03:14:25 PM »

Based on the random Twitter reports… which of the big 4 are we feeling best about ?

Pennsylvania seems astoundingly solid, given the horror surrounding it these last two weeks. If the turnout reports in Wisconsin remain true, we might - might - be in for a pleasant dark horse surprise there, too.

Yep. I also feel comfortable saying that Mastriano has a 0% chance of victory.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #340 on: November 08, 2022, 03:14:39 PM »

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

With respect, this makes no sense. By this logic you should predict Republicans to win 435 seats so every victory is a pleasant surprise. The point of predictions is not to make you feel warm and fuzzy on election night, the point is to be accurate.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #341 on: November 08, 2022, 03:15:39 PM »

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I don't see how we can't extrapolate the early NH results into a 303 map not a 242 map its WAVE INSURANCE.

HAHAHAHAHA I literally lol’ed
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #342 on: November 08, 2022, 03:15:48 PM »

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think that is why most posters are inclined towards pessimism for whoever they support. Especially Dem posters, but also R posters to some degree.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #343 on: November 08, 2022, 03:16:17 PM »

Democrats GAINED a seat in the Guam legislature. It's over.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #344 on: November 08, 2022, 03:18:08 PM »

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I don't see how we can't extrapolate the early NH results into a 303 map not a 242 map its WAVE INSURANCE.

I just wanna note that pants are, in fact, bad. I don’t care if it’s an ad hominem attack.
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #345 on: November 08, 2022, 03:18:55 PM »

The point of predictions is not to make you feel warm and fuzzy on election night, the point is to be accurate.

It can also be a coping mechanism.
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BenjiG98
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« Reply #346 on: November 08, 2022, 03:19:41 PM »

Dane County Clerk expects turnout to exceed 85%:


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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #347 on: November 08, 2022, 03:20:04 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 03:26:07 PM by MillennialModerate »

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think that is why most posters are inclined towards pessimism for whoever they support. Especially Dem posters, but also R posters to some degree.

There is reason to doom for Dems. We always do WORSE than the polls show. While Republicans frequently exceed expectations. GOP canidates can blunder all over the place with terrible moral failings and basically admit to things that would be political suicide for Dems - and get away with it.

You have Dem judges making sure Dems play fair - while GOP judges allow Republicans to bulldoze our democracy…shall I go on?
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #348 on: November 08, 2022, 03:20:22 PM »

I just don't understand how the democrats loosing a federal office they've held for almost 30 years isn't a bad sign and indicative of a very republican enviorment. Swings in seats considered safe can be random especially small ones. The texas 27th district had a pretty random swing uncorrelated with the national enviorment, but that doesn't mean if the republicans took the district it would be a catastrophic sign for the democrats.

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I don't see how we can't extrapolate the early NH results into a 303 map not a 242 map its WAVE INSURANCE.

I just wanna note that pants are, in fact, bad. I don’t care if it’s an ad hominem attack.

can you stop DOOMING and being a DOOMER if PHIL BREDESEN could defeat PHIL scoot in BHUTAN we would see a 303 map not a 413 map
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #349 on: November 08, 2022, 03:20:51 PM »

Honestly, I think accepting the results now is the best way forward. That way you're prepared to recive them when they come and if you turn out to be wrong you just get a pleasant suprise instead of dread.

I think that is why most posters are inclined towards pessimism for whoever they support. Especially Dem posters, but also R posters to some degree.

There is reason to doom for Dems. We always do WORSE than the polls show. While Republicans frequently exceed expectations. GOP canidates can blunder all over the place with terrible moral failings and basically admit to things that would be political suicide for Dems - and get away with it.
You have Dem judges making sure Dems play fair - whole GOP judges allow Republicans to bulldoze our democracy …shall I go on?

Yes, remember when the Dems underperformed in Georgia last year?
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