Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[SnowLabrador]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/aligarfield_/status/1590054089718919168?s=46&t=DgY1HrrBvAhpvQD2yRz15w/tweet]

Dane County turnout looking similar to 2018, apparently.

[wbrocks67]

Georgia exit polls should launch at 7pm EST, correct?

Will FL and NH be held off until 7:30pm?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Dems might hold up better in white college areas, see NH and completely bomb in NV.

This sort of aligns with what we saw in special elections like NY-19, MN-01, and NE-01 as well. It also seems like Ann Arbor in MI is doing amazing and getting close to 2020 levels in turnout. However, this could be a bad thing for Dems at the state legislative level if they over-pack themselves into these high turnout college town communities.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Here's some good advice:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1590052413121056769

[7,052,770]

While a good Republican night remains the most likely outcome as it has been for a while, let's not forget that analyzing all these Twitter reports about turnout meant nothing in 2018 or 2020, all just noise and selective reporting.

[GALeftist]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

[Catholics vs. Convicts]

Hey Atlas Dems,

Where are we meeting again tonight for the top secret plot to steal the election and turn on the CRT brainwashing device? I want to make sure I'm not late for the festivities.

Hail Soros!

[pantsaregood]

Hey Atlas Dems,

Where are we meeting again tonight for the top secret plot to steal the election and turn on the CRT brainwashing device? I want to make sure I'm not late for the festivities.

Hail Soros!

Arby's.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Hey Atlas Dems,

Where are we meeting again tonight for the top secret plot to steal the election and turn on the CRT brainwashing device? I want to make sure I'm not late for the festivities.

Hail Soros!

I'll be a bit late.  It's my turn to monitor the satellites.

[wbrocks67]

....doesnt E-Day typically go well for Republicans? Isn't that why we usually see a red mirage in VA?

[wbrocks67]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

.... Philly and Dane turnout are great right now.

[Nyvin]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

This is nonsense,  no one knows at this point.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

.... Philly and Dane turnout are great right now.

Dane is an anomaly, so is philly. The main places we're just seeing horrendous democrat turnout especialy heavily latino city cores.

[soundchaser]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

A lot of the urban data we have right now shows the exact opposite, but ok. Extrapolate away!

[ProgressiveModerate]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

Fully agree on the first part, especially urban cores where there’s been a relative lack of campaigning on Dems part. Places like Philly and Atlanta where there has been a lot of campaigning seem to be doing fine. But using Guam as a barometer for the nation is like using a ruler to measure the temperature outside

[GeorgiaModerate]

Georgia.  See the linked article for the AJC's live updates.

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1590060334420611074

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

.... Philly and Dane turnout are great right now.

Dane is an anomaly, so is philly. The main places we're just seeing horrendous democrat turnout especialy heavily latino city cores.

“The main places”?

[7,052,770]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

.... Philly and Dane turnout are great right now.

Dane is an anomaly, so is philly. The main places we're just seeing horrendous democrat turnout especialy heavily latino city cores.

Good thing the contested races are in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and not Florida and Texas, right?

[wbrocks67]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

Fully agree on the first part, especially urban cores where there’s been a relative lack of campaigning on Dems part. Places like Philly and Atlanta where there has been a lot of campaigning seem to be doing fine. But using Guam as a barometer for the nation is like using a ruler to measure the temperature outside

again, where is the proof that "urban cores" are not turning out? The only other city that is being spoken about is NYC, and where is the evidence of that?

[Dani Rose]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

.... Philly and Dane turnout are great right now.

Dane is an anomaly, so is philly. The main places we're just seeing horrendous democrat turnout especialy heavily latino city cores.

Real quick, and I mean this for your own sake alone: Take. A. Breath. We know nothing, only that turnout is looking pretty fantastic in most urban centers not called Clark County, and even that could still surprise us. Please, genuinely, don't die of a heart attack before the polls even close.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

.... Philly and Dane turnout are great right now.

Dane is an anomaly, so is philly. The main places we're just seeing horrendous democrat turnout especialy heavily latino city cores.

“The main places”?

I mean typical american cities like Cleavland or Toledo where the democrats need strong margins to avoid a red-wave. What kind of place do you think is more representive of the kind of cities that decide elections. Dane, a  very white college town with an extremely liberal reputation or Toledo a typical american city with it's standard mix of demographics.

White Liberals are turning out great but that's not enough to win given that Latinos are just not turning out.

[Eraserhead]

I guess we have another couple of hours of deep discussion about what Guam is doing and why it's so important.

[ProgressiveModerate]

That does it. I don't think any amount of drumbeating about not drawing sweeping conclusions from turnout reports hours before polls close will convince anyone. See you nerds at 7:00 PM EST.

Democrats are not turning out in urban cores, hide from it all you want that is a very bad sign and it's clear we've lost. The Guam flip is also indicative of an anti-democrat party enviorment given how democratic it normally is.

.... Philly and Dane turnout are great right now.

Dane is an anomaly, so is philly. The main places we're just seeing horrendous democrat turnout especialy heavily latino city cores.

Good thing the contested races are in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and not Florida and Texas, right?

Bad Hispanic turnout and margins could be the death kiss for Dems in the house, especially with all the southwestern swing districts that have notable Hispanic populations

[GeorgiaModerate]

From the Georgia elections director:

https://twitter.com/GabrielSterling/status/1590023417415098368