Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[pantsaregood]

I told you all Otero would end Frisch, its just too red.

It only takes Frisch maintaining his current margin among the remaining Pueblo ballots to win. Obviously that could fail, but it wouldn't be surprising if they held given where Bennet and Polis finished.

I understand dooming is funny to you, but this race is actually at the point where random variance from the current results will tip the race.

[Dani Rose]

Looking at what's left in their districts, Hodge and Engel seem to have pretty good forward trajectories, so long as the remaining vote in Maricopa and Pima respectively go well for them.

So it’s only a matter of time for the Captain to win?

I'll put it this way: if the late reported ballots that just dumped are as horrific for the GOP as they look, butter Masters and slather him with jam, because he's toast.

[It’s so Joever]

Lauren Boebert is now ahead by 386 Votes in CO-3.

How do you feel about that?

[wbrocks67]

Oh wow- he said

Compared to the votes that were counted in last night's drop, this batch has only a slightly greater percentage of Rep votes, but it is more Democratic and slightly less Other.

If this is correct, Kelly is totally fine and Hobbs actually has a very good chance to keep her lead...

[xavier110]

Looking at what's left in their districts, Hodge and Engel seem to have pretty good forward trajectories, so long as the remaining vote in Maricopa and Pima respectively go well for them.

Hasn’t AZ-06 been called already by some outlets?

That would be very silly if so, considering 37% of the Pima portion of that district is still outstanding. But we've seen some extremely premature calls so far, so that doesn't surprise me terribly.

Also in the only County all the way in (Graham), Ciscomani is slightly underperforming Trump who narrowly lost the district by about 400 votes in 2020. It’s not a done deal and if outlets are calling this, might as well call CA-47 and CA-49 as well

Yes, I think AZ-06 is a premature call with 100k plus outstanding from Pima. ciscomani is favored, but…

[pppolitics]

In CNN's exit polls, Oz not being from Pennsylvania turns out of be a bigger issue than Fetterman having a stroke

[2016]

Lauren Boebert is now ahead by 386 Votes in CO-3.

How do you feel about that?

Good, I like her! Reason: She is a Christian!

[South Dakota Democrat]

Looking at what's left in their districts, Hodge and Engel seem to have pretty good forward trajectories, so long as the remaining vote in Maricopa and Pima respectively go well for them.

So it’s only a matter of time for the Captain to win?

I'll put it this way: if the late reported ballots that just dumped are as horrific for the GOP as they look, butter Masters and slather him with jam, because he's toast.

I prefer peanut butter.

[Spectator]

Why were the polls so bad in New Hampshire? Hassan won every county (including Coos!) but Belknap.

Is there a good site showing county results for New Hampshire? It’s annoying seeing CNN and NYTimes break it down by municipality instead. Had to go to Bangor Daily News for the Maine County numbers.

Bumping in case anyone has it

[South Dakota Democrat]

Lauren Boebert is now ahead by 386 Votes in CO-3.

How do you feel about that?

Good, I like her! Reason: She is a Christian!

wtf?

[pantsaregood]

Lauren Boebert is now ahead by 386 Votes in CO-3.

How do you feel about that?

Good, I like her! Reason: She is a Christian!

I would advise caution with your optimism. If Pueblo maintains the margin it has had so far, it will land Frisch in the lead. Any minor deviation in favor of Boebert should be enough to lock the race up for her.

[Storr]

In CNN's exit polls, Oz not being from Pennsylvania turns out of be a bigger issue than Fetterman having a stroke

I'm shocked voters don't like carpetbaggers.

[xavier110]

We have a peek into MARICOPA LATE EARLIES

https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/status/1590757973147930624?cxt=HHwWgMDSkdn8wJM...

As Jamal says, stick a fork in Finchem and Masters. These drops may even break D…

Hobbs vs Lake will be a bloodbath, so expect militias wandering the streets for weeks…

https://twitter.com/A_R_Stumpf/status/1590763584664895488?cxt=HHwWgICgmarDw5MsAA...

Still potential for Blue AZ! Thank you Donald Trump, Kari Lake, and Peter Thiel!

If the statewide Ds pull it off, it’s somewhat safe to assume one of Hodge or Engel could win AZ-1/6

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Lauren Boebert is now ahead by 386 Votes in CO-3.

How do you feel about that?

Good, I like her! Reason: She is a Christian!

median voter moment

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/1590760786808696836

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Looking at what's left in their districts, Hodge and Engel seem to have pretty good forward trajectories, so long as the remaining vote in Maricopa and Pima respectively go well for them.

Hasn’t AZ-06 been called already by some outlets?

That would be very silly if so, considering 37% of the Pima portion of that district is still outstanding. But we've seen some extremely premature calls so far, so that doesn't surprise me terribly.

I trust DDHQ, if they are calling it they probably know something we don't.

Actually, they were one of those that f'ed up CA-21 a few years back. Chances are they just expect 2020 ballot trend repeat, so if it goes different things go wrong. Being the fastest outlet means you make errors sometimes compared to the established  ones.

i thought I remembered them messing up somewhere, but i couldn't dig it up.

[Devils30]

NC at R+3.7 you can argue actually trended 2% Dem from 2020. In an even to R+1 year it's R+4 or so instead of the R+6 in 2020.

[Dani Rose]

https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/1590760786808696836

Another brick in the wall.

[TheReckoning]

https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/1590760786808696836

Any year where abortion was an important as it was this one is going to be a year where Republicans lose in New Hampshire, how anyone couldn’t realize that is beyond me.

[Person Man]

We have a peek into MARICOPA LATE EARLIES

https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/status/1590757973147930624?cxt=HHwWgMDSkdn8wJM...

As Jamal says, stick a fork in Finchem and Masters. These drops may even break D…

Hobbs vs Lake will be a bloodbath, so expect militias wandering the streets for weeks…

https://twitter.com/A_R_Stumpf/status/1590763584664895488?cxt=HHwWgICgmarDw5MsAA...

Still potential for Blue AZ! Thank you Donald Trump, Kari Lake, and Peter Thiel!

If the statewide Ds pull it off, it’s somewhat safe to assume one of Hodge or Engel could win AZ-1/6

Can't wait to see how screwed these fruitcakes are.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/s_golonka/status/1590768170591465473?s=20&t=sbGSHnRaD-Sy...

My guess is that Carson won't be so bad given it's the least Republican of the "rurals."

[Holmes]

Lauren Boebert is now ahead by 386 Votes in CO-3.

How do you feel about that?

Good, I like her! Reason: She is a Christian!

What about her Jewish opponent, Frisch? Not a fan because he's Jewish?

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/1590760786808696836

I think Jeanne Shaheen’s 2020 16% win takes the cake, but Hassan 2022 is the second biggest Senate win.

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/_alex_joshua/status/1590749244163784707

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/s_golonka/status/1590768170591465473?s=20&t=sbGSHnRaD-Sy...
My guess is that Carson won't be so bad given it's the least Republican of the "rurals."

Really curious to see if Ford retains his 100 vote lead in Carson City in the AG race. I think Ford might have an excellent shot of winning NV-02 in that race depending on how blue the remaining Washoe County ballots are.