WA: Public Policy Polling: Murray +10
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  WA: Public Policy Polling: Murray +10
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Author Topic: WA: Public Policy Polling: Murray +10  (Read 498 times)
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realisticidealist
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« on: October 21, 2022, 11:24:23 AM »

New Poll: Washington Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2022-10-20

Summary: D: 52%, R: 42%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2022, 11:25:38 AM »

Secretary of State:

34 Anderson
33 Hobbs

34 Hobbs
23 Klippert (WI)
18 Anderson
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2022, 11:26:23 AM »

Last 7 polls of this race:
PPP: Smiley 42
SurveyUSA: Smiley 41
Civiqs: Smiley 41
Emerson: Smiley 42
PPP: Smiley 40
OnMessage(R): Smiley 42
Strategies 360: Smiley 40

Smiley consistently stuck in that position.

PPP has been exceptionally consistent on this race though. They've been polling Murray at 9-12% all year long.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2022, 11:26:46 AM »

WA-SEN remains Safe D, and this is in line with my earlier prediction of Murray winning by around low double digits (+12-13% or so).
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2022, 11:29:59 AM »

WA-SEN remains Safe D, and this is in line with my earlier prediction of Murray winning by around low double digits (+12-13% or so).

Sounds like the jungle primary results will remain predictive for another cycle then (since Ds won 57-43 I believe)
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UncleSam
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2022, 01:09:18 PM »

This is about the margin I expect in the end. A respectable showing for Smiley.
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Aurelius
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2022, 02:22:24 PM »
« Edited: October 21, 2022, 02:27:16 PM by Aurelius »

All these narrow polls for Murray ought to be a good sign for a certain Washington statehouse candidate.
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Vosem
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2022, 02:26:30 PM »

All these narrow polls for Murray ought to be a good sign for a certain Washington House candidate.

...Matt Larkin?

(Obviously you mean Kent, but that race was always predicated on the idea that it might scramble normal voting patterns. It seems like most of the evidence is that it's not doing so, but it wasn't a ridiculous suggestion at the start. Larkin is much more of a Generic R who is probably much more dependent on Generic R doing well if he wants to win his seat.)
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Aurelius
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2022, 02:26:55 PM »

All these narrow polls for Murray ought to be a good sign for a certain Washington House candidate.

...Matt Larkin?

(Obviously you mean Kent, but that race was always predicated on the idea that it might scramble normal voting patterns. It seems like most of the evidence is that it's not doing so, but it wasn't a ridiculous suggestion at the start. Larkin is much more of a Generic R who is probably much more dependent on Generic R doing well if he wants to win his seat.)

I meant statehouse level. Look at who's the OP of this thread.

But yeah, Kent is definitely the best of the bunch of his sort of candidates running this cycle. He's really nailed down how to run in that lane.
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