GA-SEN (Quinnipiac): Warnock +7

[wbrocks67]

Warnock (D) 52%
Walker (R) 45%

Warnock fav: 50/44 (+6)
Walker fav: 39/55 (-16)

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3858

[soundchaser]

🚨WARNOCK OVER 50🚨

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race is OVER

[KaiserDave]

Q-Pac<<<<

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Qpac is bad BUT I think Warnock is more likely to win than not at this point. Walker hasn't hit 50 in many polls(if any at all, can someone confirm?) and like I've said he can't win a runoff period.

[wbrocks67]

Biden approval here at 44/53, which is a lot more believable IMO if we're going off of 2020 national performance then AJC's 38/57.

Georgia was about tied in 2020, so 4% to the right of the nation. Biden's national LV approval right now is about -7, so you'd expect GA to be around -11-ish. This has it at -9, so maybe a bit too good for Dems, but clearly more close to what you'd expect than AJC's -19.

[Calthrina950]

I notice that in every recent poll out of Georgia - Quinnipiac, UGA, and Trafalgar - there is about a 10-pt. gap between Kemp and Walker. Kemp is the definitive favorite, and there is some ticket-splitting occurring in Georgia.

[wbrocks67]

Still a bit of ticket-splitting among Black voters too.

Warnock up 92-6, while Abrams is 87-10.

[Minnesota Mike]

Interesting to see the difference in the results for the Libertarian vs other polls. Q has "someone else" <1% while polls that name the Libertarian candidate have him between 2-4%. Who is right might mean the difference between an outright win and a runoff.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Still a bit of ticket-splitting among Black voters too.

Warnock up 92-6, while Abrams is 87-10.

That's really good for Warnock. While I think this is underestimating Walker, I can't see him winning without a substantial improvement with blacks. Those suburban Ed whites might vote for a normal republican but not him

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Unlikely to be that large of a margin, but starting to hope for something like Warnock +4 at the end.