WA-SEN (Strategies 360): Murray +12

[wbrocks67]

Murray (D) 52%
Smiley (R) 40%
Undecided 8%

Murray fav: 45/43 (+2)
Smiley fav: 32/38 (-6)

https://www.strategies360.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/22-465-KOMO-WA-Toplines-External.pdf

[wbrocks67]

Smiley's share of the vote in the last 3 polls (non Trafalgar): 40-42-40.

Seems likely to end up pretty damn close to the primary's 57-43 split.

[Calthrina950]

Smiley's share of the vote in the last 3 polls (non Trafalgar): 40-42-40.

Seems likely to end up pretty damn close to the primary's 57-43 split.

I've been predicting such an outcome for a while now, although I've said that Murray will win ~56-44%. She will do worse than in 2016, but better than in 2010.

[S019]

Safe D, this is not going to flip (and never was going to, regardless of what Republican hacks thought)

[Progressive Pessimist]

Murray+12 is looking like a pretty consistent and likely margin. It's definitely what I'm predicting.