OH-SEN: Cygnal (R) - Vance +2
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  OH-SEN: Cygnal (R) - Vance +2
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Author Topic: OH-SEN: Cygnal (R) - Vance +2  (Read 1340 times)
Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #25 on: October 10, 2022, 06:17:01 PM »

Vance should just stream Hillbilly Elegy on TV

Don't you mean that Ryan should? That would help Vance lose support.

Why? You have to admit a lot of Vance's biography mostly the stuff covered in the movie is pretty inspiring. Didn't know his dad, his mom was a drug addict and he grew up surrounded by abuse and addiction. Grew up poor in Ohio, worked his ass off and joined the Marines and served in Iraq, graduated with high honors from Ohio State, went to Law school, and worked multiple jobs to put himself through school.

   The book would make Vance look much worse, but the movie makes him pretty sympathetic.

I'm not talking about the content as much as how over-the-top and over-dramatic it was. It's impossible to take realistically even if it is based on autobiographical source material.
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: October 10, 2022, 06:19:55 PM »

Vance should just stream Hillbilly Elegy on TV

Don't you mean that Ryan should? That would help Vance lose support.

Why? You have to admit a lot of Vance's biography mostly the stuff covered in the movie is pretty inspiring. Didn't know his dad, his mom was a drug addict and he grew up surrounded by abuse and addiction. Grew up poor in Ohio, worked his ass off and joined the Marines and served in Iraq, graduated with high honors from Ohio State, went to Law school, and worked multiple jobs to put himself through school.

   The book would make Vance look much worse, but the movie makes him pretty sympathetic.

I'm not talking about the content as much as how over-the-top and over-dramatic it was. It's impossible to take realistically even if it is based on autobiographical source material.

I think you're overestimating the intelligence of the average Ohioan
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #27 on: October 10, 2022, 06:22:11 PM »

Tim Ryan he emailed me internal poll has hom down 45/42 but that's within the MOE, DeSantis and Rubio are almost certainly gonna win we never know what's gonna happen on Eday the Rs are almost favorites to bet the H when the polls close but the Ds are odds on Favs to keep the Senate it's a 52/45 Senate map WI, PA as net pickups, and OH, NC and win UT or SD or LA
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #28 on: October 10, 2022, 06:25:53 PM »

Vance should just stream Hillbilly Elegy on TV

Don't you mean that Ryan should? That would help Vance lose support.

Why? You have to admit a lot of Vance's biography mostly the stuff covered in the movie is pretty inspiring. Didn't know his dad, his mom was a drug addict and he grew up surrounded by abuse and addiction. Grew up poor in Ohio, worked his ass off and joined the Marines and served in Iraq, graduated with high honors from Ohio State, went to Law school, and worked multiple jobs to put himself through school.

   The book would make Vance look much worse, but the movie makes him pretty sympathetic.

I'm not talking about the content as much as how over-the-top and over-dramatic it was. It's impossible to take realistically even if it is based on autobiographical source material.

I think you're overestimating the intelligence of the average Ohioan

Yeah, probably.
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S019
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« Reply #29 on: October 10, 2022, 06:52:51 PM »

None of this is really surprising, Vance is clearly favored, at this point. Those GCB numbers are very bad news for Republican chances in OH-01, though, and they've basically ceded OH-09.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #30 on: October 10, 2022, 07:34:42 PM »

Typically this is around the time Ohio polling starts catching up with reality.

If this is the best Vance can do in an internal, he might actually be in serious trouble...
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #31 on: October 10, 2022, 08:57:12 PM »

That this poll also has DeWine +22 is...interesting.

PROOF that Ohioans want to ban all abortion everywhere forever and pro-abortion Ryan is DOOMED. [/s]
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #32 on: October 10, 2022, 09:01:18 PM »

This is about where I expect the race to end up in reality, even though it is an internal. Ohio polls have tended to overestimate Democrats in recent times.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #33 on: October 11, 2022, 07:48:41 AM »

This is about where I expect the race to end up in reality, even though it is an internal. Ohio polls have tended to overestimate Democrats in recent times.

Lol, they only did it in 2020, they predicted both DeWine and Brown to win and 2016 they predicted Portman to win by 20
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S019
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« Reply #34 on: October 11, 2022, 08:53:58 AM »

This is about where I expect the race to end up in reality, even though it is an internal. Ohio polls have tended to overestimate Democrats in recent times.

Lol, they only did it in 2020, they predicted both DeWine and Brown to win and 2016 they predicted Portman to win by 20

Ohio polls predicted a Cordray victory in 2018 and only had Trump up narrowly over Hillary.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #35 on: October 11, 2022, 01:00:30 PM »

Typically this is around the time Ohio polling starts catching up with reality.

If this is the best Vance can do in an internal, he might actually be in serious trouble...
No he isn't. Even Trafalgar underestimated Cordray in 2018
Vance may underperform Trump but he ain't losing folks
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #36 on: October 11, 2022, 02:56:28 PM »

Typically this is around the time Ohio polling starts catching up with reality.

If this is the best Vance can do in an internal, he might actually be in serious trouble...
No he isn't. Even Trafalgar underestimated Cordray in 2018
Vance may underperform Trump but he ain't losing folks

Do you know what wave insurance it's not a sure bet but it's not safe R we have had many wave insurance seats that turned D, AK 2022 PELTOLA BEAT PALIN AND BEGICH CASE CLOSED

Who are you to say Vance isn't losing is this an exit poll no it's not it's pre Election polls just like pre Election polls had Molinaro plus 8 more than 2, he Lost just like Drazen, Johnson and LAXALT are plus 2 and will lose
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