CA REP 21TRAFALGAR TIED RACE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1578402904557453315?s=20&t=BfIH537jCZWSRW3XXZXkXQ

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Trafalgar has been very bad in CA, but based on his performance in the primary, I would not be shocked if Costa was held to single digits, and he's much more likely to lose than Julia Brownley

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Big talk from the polling firm that claims Tish James is trailing the Republican sacrificial lamb in the New York AG's race

[Senator Incitatus]

I doubt it but I suppose it's not totally ludicrous.

[Minnesota Mike]

I doubt it but I suppose it's not totally ludicrous.

No, it really is totally ludicrous.

[Minnesota Mike]

For the record the primary vote by party in CA-21 was Dem 57 - Rep 43. In Top 2 primary states the total primary vote is the best poll you will get.

[kwabbit]

Costa just barely hung on in 2014. The Central Valley can be friendly to Republicans occasionally. No reason to think this seat is competitive, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it was within 10.

[GALeftist]

For the record the primary vote by party in CA-21 was Dem 57 - Rep 43. In Top 2 primary states the total primary vote is the best poll you will get.

Biden+23 too. This would be like Democrats being within striking distance in Darin LaHood's district. Patently absurd.

[Pollster]

Trafalgar being able to complete a poll of 500+ voters in a single Congressional district does not seem to jive with the methodology that Cahaly explained to those bloggers.