FL-27 (Taddeo internal): Taddeo +1

[wbrocks67]

Taddeo (D) 47%
Salazar (R) 46%
Undecided 7%

Also has DeSantis up 6, 50-44 and Demings up 1, 48-47

https://twitter.com/philprazan/status/1578133767411179520?s=46&t=-Wpt414MwhD1qPm66MAp-A

[Senator Incitatus]

This tells me the Governor's race is Titanium R.

[Pericles]

DeSantis doing a lot better than Rubio with Cubans is something.

[Lief 🗽]

Would be hilarious if this seat flips during a Democratic midterm, especially after all the dooming about Democrats' support from Hispanics (and Cubans in particular) after 2020.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Taddeo seems to be having at least a mini-surge

[ajc0918]

The NRCC just dropped $2M in Miami so this would make sense.

[If my soul was made of stone]

DeSantis doing a lot better than Rubio with Cubans is something.

Metro Miami is typically where Rubio has overperformed the least, with his big raw votes coming out of Jax, the Panhandle, and gains over the Baseline™ among white voters in the Central Florida metros. His style of politics, insofar as he has one other than just zeitgeist-chasing, isn't de rigueur vis-a-vis the "Miami Cuban Style" in this era, and he came of age politically in the Obama years that were very dealigned for that community.

And let us not forget that when his parents came to the States they were fleeing Batista, not Castro. People like to paper over this huge divide when totalizing Cuban-Americans into simply "the Hialeah Q people who like Cuban candidates" out of a desire to belittle rather than understand holistically.

[Devils30]

DeSantis doing a lot better than Rubio with Cubans is something.

Metro Miami is typically where Rubio has overperformed the least, with his big raw votes coming out of Jax, the Panhandle, and gains over the Baseline™ among white voters in the Central Florida metros. His style of politics, insofar as he has one other than just zeitgeist-chasing, isn't de rigueur vis-a-vis the "Miami Cuban Style" in this era, and he came of age politically in the Obama years that were very dealigned for that community.

And let us not forget that when his parents came to the States they were fleeing Batista, not Castro. People like to paper over this huge divide when totalizing Cuban-Americans into simply "the Hialeah Q people who like Cuban candidates" out of a desire to belittle rather than understand holistically.

People are also forgetting this district packed the most educated parts of Dade, it might have trended R in 2020 but this is still a place Dobbs can hurt.

[If my soul was made of stone]

DeSantis doing a lot better than Rubio with Cubans is something.

Metro Miami is typically where Rubio has overperformed the least, with his big raw votes coming out of Jax, the Panhandle, and gains over the Baseline™ among white voters in the Central Florida metros. His style of politics, insofar as he has one other than just zeitgeist-chasing, isn't de rigueur vis-a-vis the "Miami Cuban Style" in this era, and he came of age politically in the Obama years that were very dealigned for that community.

And let us not forget that when his parents came to the States they were fleeing Batista, not Castro. People like to paper over this huge divide when totalizing Cuban-Americans into simply "the Hialeah Q people who like Cuban candidates" out of a desire to belittle rather than understand holistically.

People are also forgetting this district packed the most educated parts of Dade, it might have trended R in 2020 but this is still a place Dobbs can hurt.

sorry sweaty people are numbers and categories and therefore downtown miami is actually populated entirely by clones of cesar sayoc 💅

[TwinGeeks99]

Doesn't really tell you much except that DeSantis has enough support among Miami Hispanics to make his odds for winning reelection very easy.

[wbrocks67]

Should we extrapolate from this that Demings doing about the same as Biden here would indicate the 4-5pt average Rubio lead the polls in the last month or so is pretty solid? What would this indicate for her statewide margin?