OH-SEN (Center Street PAC-D): Ryan +11 LV, +8 RV
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 01, 2024, 06:26:09 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2022 Senate & House Election Polls
  OH-SEN (Center Street PAC-D): Ryan +11 LV, +8 RV
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: OH-SEN (Center Street PAC-D): Ryan +11 LV, +8 RV  (Read 1300 times)
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 05, 2022, 10:20:28 AM »
« edited: October 05, 2022, 10:24:12 AM by GeorgiaModerate »



https://centerstreetpac.com/poll-tim-ryan-leads-j-d-vance-49-to-38-among-likely-voters-14-undecided/
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2022, 10:31:44 AM »

This would have been a plausible result 20 or even 10 years ago, but certainly isn't now.
Logged
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2022, 10:38:53 AM »

Oh wait this is Joe Walsh’s PAC lol

That explains why Ryan is winning by so much.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2022, 10:41:01 AM »

Lol Brown won in 2018
Logged
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2022, 10:48:12 AM »


And he’ll lose in 2024

Also Tim Ryan is many things, but Sherrod Brown is not one of them.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,528
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2022, 10:54:14 AM »

This isn’t a Dem internal, group says they are nonpartisan.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2022, 10:55:04 AM »

I am anxiously waiting for the results not polls
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,727
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2022, 10:57:00 AM »

Oof, I'm still not buying this, tbh.

It's still remarkable since we're into October now and OH polling at least tended to tighten after the summer while still underestimating GOP support.

That said, if Vance wins easily, this thread will be a top-contender to be bumped in 5 weeks and be ridiculed.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,717


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2022, 11:21:58 AM »

This isn’t a Dem internal, group says they are nonpartisan.

They are supporting Ryan (also Mark Kelly), so I think it's reasonable to mark it as D.

https://centerstreetpac.com/timryan/
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2022, 11:24:04 AM »

Vance hasnt lead in a single poll that's not Trafalgar or Emerson , Baldwin, Siena, impact and Center Street Pac all have Ryan ahead
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2022, 11:27:31 AM »

Very much doubt, but D+10 or more is the sort of margin where I'm forced to think this race might be close.

Maybe.

Still doubt.
Logged
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,331
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2022, 11:28:32 AM »

This will definitely be bumped on Election Day.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2022, 11:29:49 AM »


Yea with Ryan wins Vance hasnt lead in a single Non Trafalgar and Emerson polls , it's in the Database all polls not Trafalgar and Emerson has Ryan ahead
Logged
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2022, 12:35:56 PM »


Yea with Ryan wins Vance hasnt lead in a single Non Trafalgar and Emerson polls , it's in the Database all polls not Trafalgar and Emerson has Ryan ahead

And most of those polls are hot garbage.

Vance will win and it will not be close.
Logged

NYDem
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,172
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2022, 12:40:04 PM »

Ohio polling is bad. Internal polling is bad. This is nearly worthless.

I’ll be pleasantly surprised if this poll isn’t off from the final margin by double digits.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 05, 2022, 12:51:37 PM »

Ohio polling is bad. Internal polling is bad. This is nearly worthless.

I’ll be pleasantly surprised if this poll isn’t off from the final margin by double digits.

Lol you have the inside scoop on whom is gonna win on Eday no you don't
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,717


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2022, 12:55:03 PM »

Ohio polling is bad. Internal polling is bad. This is nearly worthless.

I’ll be pleasantly surprised if this poll isn’t off from the final margin by double digits.

I'll be ecstatic if it's off by only single digits, since that would mean Ryan won. Smiley
Logged
UncleSam
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,514


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2022, 01:38:40 PM »

Ohio polling is bad. Internal polling is bad. This is nearly worthless.

I’ll be pleasantly surprised if this poll isn’t off from the final margin by double digits.

I'll be ecstatic if it's off by only single digits, since that would mean Ryan won. Smiley
Ya lol it’ll be interesting to see which poll ends up being worse: this one or the Trafalgar one in WA.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,271


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2022, 01:39:36 PM »

Haven't we all learned from the 13% undecided polls? y'all know most of that is going to Vance.

Though if Ryan actually is close to 49% in reality, means this is a real race
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,918
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2022, 02:09:21 PM »

Not falling for this again.

It would indeed be hilarious though if Manchin's prediction was right and this end up the only seat to flip at all.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2022, 02:34:13 PM »

Not falling for this again.

It would indeed be hilarious though if Manchin's prediction was right and this end up the only seat to flip at all.

Ryan has way more money than Vance, Vance is going broke while Ryan has 17 M dollar's
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,226
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2022, 06:09:29 PM »

Stop teasing us! Ohio is so two months ago. North Carolina is this month's tease!
Logged
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2022, 06:25:26 PM »

i wish :<
Logged
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2022, 07:14:57 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2022, 07:20:52 PM by Real Texan Politics »

Not falling for this again.

It would indeed be hilarious though if Manchin's prediction was right and this end up the only seat to flip at all.

Ryan has way more money than Vance, Vance is going broke while Ryan has 17 M dollar's

Marcus Flowers has raised more money than probably any other congressional candidate (house and senate) for both parties this cycle, yet does he have a chance at beating MTG?
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,717


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 05, 2022, 07:22:49 PM »

Not falling for this again.

It would indeed be hilarious though if Manchin's prediction was right and this end up the only seat to flip at all.

Ryan has way more money than Vance, Vance is going broke while Ryan has 17 M dollar's

Marcus Flowers has raised more money than probably any other congressional candidate (house and senate) for both parties this cycle, yet does he have a chance at beating MTG?

No, Flowers will be lucky to lose by 30.  But surely you're not trying to imply that Ohio is as far out of reach for Democrats as GA-14, are you?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.052 seconds with 13 queries.