AZ SEN CBS/YOU GOV KELLY 51/48
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Author Topic: AZ SEN CBS/YOU GOV KELLY 51/48  (Read 597 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« on: October 05, 2022, 06:41:18 AM »
https://www.yahoo.com/news/kelly-edge-arizona-senate-race-110017051.html

SEN KELLY 51
Masters 48
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2022, 06:56:03 AM »
Hey. 51.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2022, 06:57:07 AM »
Outlier till proven otherwise
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Woody
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2022, 07:05:05 AM »
Cope. Polling has been tightening the last few weeks. The average still has Kelly under 50% which was not the case in 2020.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2022, 07:08:06 AM »
Gas Prices are skyrocketing in AZ and NV in particular. If I were Kelly I get nervous. This is what happens when you run a single issue Campaign with Abortion like most of these Dem Candidates are doing.

The Point is: Democrats have nothing else to run on.
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HidingCommentary
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2022, 07:44:27 AM »

Cope?

Eww. For a second I thought I was back on election twitter.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2022, 08:03:14 AM »
Their favorability ratings - "like how ___ handles themselves"

Kelly: 57/43
Masters: 37/63

Woof
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2022, 08:03:50 AM »
This is the exact margin Kelly won bye in 2020, but the problem is that over the Summer Ds built that massive lead because Gas prices went down in Cali and WC they are back up again it's 6.99 again in CA, but Kelly will win
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2022, 10:05:50 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 05, 2022, 08:03:14 AM
Their favorability ratings - "like how ___ handles themselves"

Kelly: 57/43
Masters: 37/63

Woof

You would think that if people voted based off favorability, Democrats would be sweeping all of these races. But that is obviously not happening. Just as many people who disapprove of Biden are still voting for Democratic candidates (and will vote for Biden again in 2024), many people who disapprove of Republican candidates are still voting for them.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2022, 10:12:23 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 05, 2022, 08:03:14 AM
Their favorability ratings - "like how ___ handles themselves"

Kelly: 57/43
Masters: 37/63

Woof
Republican candidate vastly outperforms approvals
Neutral Environment
Pick one
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2022, 10:44:05 AM »
I think this is the 51st GOP seat and the current Dem polling lead that's most likely to be fake.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2022, 01:19:31 PM »
D+3, Kelly over 50… sorry is this supposed to be a bad result for us? Lol
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xavier110
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2022, 01:30:08 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 05, 2022, 01:19:31 PM
D+3, Kelly over 50… sorry is this supposed to be a bad result for us? Lol

This looks like the final result tbh
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2022, 01:33:08 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 05, 2022, 01:19:31 PM
D+3, Kelly over 50… sorry is this supposed to be a bad result for us? Lol

Really worried about the Hispanic trend and its impact on polling in AZ/NV/TX.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2022, 06:02:16 PM »
You could call this tightening if you want, but, like with Fetterman during the summer, a win beyond a certain threshold was never going to be in the cards. The real fact of the matter here is that Kelly, once again, is at 51% and is still as favored as ever to make mincemeat of Masters, even if it isn't by too much more than his 2020 victory.
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