OH-SEN 2024: Brown (D) vs Moreno (R)

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

This is the Ohio-6 Republican Primary result so far.

Michael Rulli   GOP   5,224   
49.1%

Reggie Stoltzfus   GOP   4,314   
40.5%

Rick Tsai   GOP   1,101   
10.3%

Total
10,639

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Moreno obliterating Dolan in Trumbull and Mahoning.

30+ point leads   

[Oryxslayer]

Moreno obliterating Dolan in Trumbull and Mahoning.

30+ point leads   

Interestingly, this is probably a example of the classic "media market" primaries. Those two counties aren't that different from say Portage or Stark. But the Mahoning Valley is it's own TV market from the rest of NE Ohio, and Dolan has legislative history in that Cleveland Media Market.

[kwabbit]

What's the chance this ends up as tight as Oz vs. McCormick did by the end?

Very unlikely. More likely that Moreno wins by over 10. No election day votes are in but unless LaRose collapsed and most of it went to Dolan then Moreno will win easily.

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Three way race in Republican primary in Ohio-2nd

David Taylor   GOP   3,373   
23.2%

Larry Kidd   GOP   3,231   
22.2%

Tim O'Hara   GOP   3,016   
20.8%

[OSR stands with Israel]

I can’t believe Moreno wasn’t attacked hard for being pro Palestine

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Dolan overtook Moreno suddenly, I’m guessing a big county came in?

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Matt Dolan   GOP   79,472   
38.8%

Bernie Moreno   GOP   78,470   
38.3%

Frank LaRose   GOP   46,980   
22.9%

Total
204,922

I gather this is all the early vote?

[Oryxslayer]

Dolan overtook Moreno suddenly, I’m guessing a big county came in?

Cuyahoga, aka his base. But unless something changes, he's gonna Fall with E-Day. Recent History from the referenda tells us the two baskets are more polarized than usual for states. In fact, the Dolan map kinda resembles the Pro-Abortion map when it was only the EV in, before it receded to the cities and suburbs with E-Day.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Dolan leading by just 59 votes atm, but a lot of shifting

[kwabbit]

Dolan overtook Moreno suddenly, I’m guessing a big county came in?

Cuyahoga, home to Cleveland. Dolan reps affluent eastern suburbs of Cleveland within Cuyahoga County in the OH senate.

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Taylor has taken the lead in Ohio-2nd

David Taylor   GOP   6,205   
27.6%

Tim O'Hara   GOP   4,164   
18.5%

Larry Kidd   GOP   4,064   
18.1%

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Moreno is back in the lead again

Bernie Moreno
82,674    38.71%
Matt Dolan
82,324    38.54%
Frank LaRose
48,599    22.75%

[Flats the Flounder]

NYT is showing Moreno ahead by only 255 votes with 20% in. Is it supposed to stay this close?

[Nyvin]

Races like this are why MAGA is so opposed to RCV.   

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Moreno seems to be slowly but steadily increasing his lead.

[Utah Neolib]

Is this early vote or Election Day or a mix of the two?

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Bernie Moreno   GOP   96,673   
39.8%

Matt Dolan   GOP   91,815   
37.8%

Frank LaRose   GOP   54,655   
22.5%

Total
243,143

[Oryxslayer]

Is this early vote or Election Day or a mix of the two?

Unless something has changed, Ohio drops every early vote first. But enough time has passed that there are porbably some precincts in. Which is why we can say Dolan has very likely lost, and probably by a significant margin. His totals are only going up and theres a lot out...

[NOVA Green]

DDHQ just recently called it for Moreno...

[Nyvin]

DDHQ just recently called it for Moreno...

So did AP

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Good night for Sherrod Brown

[ajc0918]

I imagine the Brown campaign has a huge oppo file ready for Moreno...

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Moreno might get to 50% when all the vote is counted.

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

I imagine the Brown campaign has a huge oppo file ready for Moreno...

What? Who doesn't love auto dealers?