Feeling very good about WI/NC/NV (all Lean R), but it’s going to come down to AZ/GA/PA. Republicans need one of those three races to win the majority, and unfortunately, they’ve nominated candidates likely to underperform generic R by a few points in all three states. However, I still think they can win one of those states (probably PA?), maybe two on a really good night, but they’ll need a favorable environment to pull it off.
While I'm much more optimistic regarding democrats chance than you overall.
I definitely agree this is all going to come down to Pennsylvania and that republicans have a sh**t. Oz is unpopular but he's not perceived as unhinged lol