NH-Sen (Emerson): Hassan 51 - Bolduc 40

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1570819807322279938

[Calthrina950]

Hassan is favored. Republicans might have had a chance here with Morse - even though he also would have been an underdog - but they completely threw that away by nominating Bolduc. I don't think she will win by as much as Shaheen did in 2020, but she will improve over 2016.

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1570822361016049668

Also polled House races.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Likely D, as expected

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Might have to put the NHGOP on the list of most incompetent state parties, alongside the Florida Dems and the Minnesota GOP.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Might have to put the NHGOP on the list of most incompetent state parties, alongside the Florida Dems and the Minnesota GOP.

I would hold off on that so long as they are still competent enough to hold the governorship.

[Person Man]

So the 3 states the GOP has a realistic shot in are Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia. Just like Democrats have North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Maybe Ohio is on the same tier as Nee Hampshire?

[Spectator]

Likely-to-Safe D. Hassan would have beat Morse anyway. It only matters insofar as Hassan winning by a bigger margin that could boost Pappas in the swingier House race.

It’s crazy to think that had Sununu run for Senate, the Senate landscape would widely be seen as a likely flip due to the probability of him beating Hassan.

[Holmes]

Hassan is favored. Republicans might have had a chance here with Morse - even though he also would have been an underdog - but they completely threw that away by nominating Bolduc. I don't think she will win by as much as Shaheen did in 2020, but she will improve over 2016.

Obviously she’ll improve over her 2016 margin if she’s favored, otherwise she’d lose.

[Spectator]

Hassan is favored. Republicans might have had a chance here with Morse - even though he also would have been an underdog - but they completely threw that away by nominating Bolduc. I don't think she will win by as much as Shaheen did in 2020, but she will improve over 2016.

Obviously she’ll improve over her 2016 margin if she’s favored, otherwise she’d lose.

Now watch her win by only 100 votes

[Horus]

This one is all but over. Bolduc is kooky and ever moderate New Hampshire won't take that risk.

[Calthrina950]

Hassan is favored. Republicans might have had a chance here with Morse - even though he also would have been an underdog - but they completely threw that away by nominating Bolduc. I don't think she will win by as much as Shaheen did in 2020, but she will improve over 2016.

Obviously she’ll improve over her 2016 margin if she’s favored, otherwise she’d lose.

Hassan won in 2016, although it was a close one.

[President Johnson]

Keeping this at Lean Democratic until validation by more polls. With that being said, I don't think Bolduc has a serious shot of winning unless the red wave somehow came back. Hassan got really lucky that neither Sununu nor Ayotte made a play here and her opponent instead is this weirdo.

[Lief 🗽]

Looks like enbies will be a crucial swing demographic in this race.
https://twitter.com/alotoforanges/status/1570822959673245698?s=21&t=r3LU8Bgp...

[Minnesota Mike]

FWIW Emerson has been pretty good in NH.

https://twitter.com/norwood270/status/1570828397596778496

[Devils30]

Dems are keeping both house seats and winning the state house back. What a big wreck of a GOP ticket

[Alben Barkley]

The Angry New Hampshire Woman alone makes this Safe D post-Dobbs.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

The Angry New Hampshire Woman alone makes this Safe D post-Dobbs.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Emerson has been very Republican friendly this year, so this is absolutely beyond abysmal for Bolduc.

SawxDem, you vote for a write-in all you want, I don't think your vote will be too necessary for Hassan to win.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Looks like enbies will be a crucial swing demographic in this race.
https://twitter.com/alotoforanges/status/1570822959673245698?s=21&t=r3LU8Bgp...

It's probably these idiots

https://twitter.com/mattxiv/status/1570472071771336705

[wbrocks67]

Regardless of the result, this continues the trend of GOP candidates continuing to have way higher favorability numbers than they should lol. Bolduc being a net positive favorability here is something

[Alben Barkley]

Looks like enbies will be a crucial swing demographic in this race.
https://twitter.com/alotoforanges/status/1570822959673245698?s=21&t=r3LU8Bgp...

It's probably these idiots

https://twitter.com/mattxiv/status/1570472071771336705

It was a sample size of 16 lol. And I wouldn't be surprised if many or most of them were just Republicans trolling.

Regardless of the result, this continues the trend of GOP candidates continuing to have way higher favorability numbers than they should lol. Bolduc being a net positive favorability here is something

He hasn't been obliterated by ads yet so not enough people know who he is. Don't worry, he'll go down just like Mastriano soon enough.

[wbrocks67]

Looks like enbies will be a crucial swing demographic in this race.
https://twitter.com/alotoforanges/status/1570822959673245698?s=21&t=r3LU8Bgp...

It's probably these idiots

https://twitter.com/mattxiv/status/1570472071771336705

It was a sample size of 16 lol. And I wouldn't be surprised if many or most of them were just Republicans trolling.

Regardless of the result, this continues the trend of GOP candidates continuing to have way higher favorability numbers than they should lol. Bolduc being a net positive favorability here is something

He hasn't been obliterated by ads yet so not enough people know who he is. Don't worry, he'll go down just like Mastriano soon enough.

I mean, I'm sure he will. I just think it's interesting how Emerson always finds GOP candidates way higher in every single poll.

Ronchetti at 51%, Mastriano at 45%, Walker at 49-50%, Vance at 50%, they find some of the highest favorable ratings of all pollsters for the GOP consistently.

[MT Treasurer]

Looks like enbies will be a crucial swing demographic in this race.

Don’t worry Lief, the results among that demographic make me believe that it’s probably just (figuratively) emasculated NH men who are afraid to admit that they were humiliated by a woman. In other words, men like John Sununu, Corky Messner, Frank Guinta, Paul Hodes, and (soon) Donald Bolduc.

When Chris Sununu and Chris Pappas are the most assertive and threatening male politicians in your state, you sort of wonder how someone like Bolduc will fare among that other NH demographic.

[Donerail]

Looks like enbies will be a crucial swing demographic in this race.

Don’t worry Lief, the results among that demographic make me believe that it’s probably just (figuratively) emasculated NH men who are afraid to admit that they were humiliated by a woman. In other words, men like John Sununu, Corky Messner, Frank Guinta, Paul Hodes, and (soon) Donald Bolduc.

When Chris Sununu and Chris Pappas are the most assertive and threatening male politicians in your state, you sort of wonder how someone like Bolduc will fare among that other NH demographic.

Hi, quick question: have you ever been with a woman?