OK: SoonerPoll: Sen. Lankford (R) +17, Mullin (R) +12

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Oklahoma Senator by SoonerPoll on 2022-09-07

Summary: D: 35%, R: 52%, I: 0%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

I can buy the Dems at 35%

[Skill and Chance]

Obviously not competitive, but this is weirdly close for Oklahoma.  Did the Kansas abortion effect spread further south?

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Obviously not competitive, but this is weirdly close for Oklahoma.  Did the Kansas abortion effect spread further south?

No, SoonerPoll has basically always been a crap pollster and this is likely just another crap result from them. They almost always have a strongly Dem lean except for the one time in 2018 where they managed to blow the OK-5 race that Horn actually won.

[MT Treasurer]

Yes, I’m sure that Eric Schmitt, John Boozman, and Markwayne Mullin are all in the same position to be elected in November as Gretchen Whitmer and Mark Kelly.

[wbrocks67]

Yes, I’m sure that Eric Schmitt, John Boozman, and Markwayne Mullin are all in the same position to be elected in November as Gretchen Whitmer and Mark Kelly.

there's 13% undecided...

[MT Treasurer]

Yes, I’m sure that Eric Schmitt, John Boozman, and Markwayne Mullin are all in the same position to be elected in November as Gretchen Whitmer and Mark Kelly.

there's 13% undecided...

Completely irrelevant. If we’re supposed to believe that upwards of 80% of undecideds are going to vote Republican in every single race, that’s a serious indictment of pollsters for not pushing those "undecideds" harder. It’s also improbable and next to impossible that that’s what’s actually happening — "the polls were accurate, it’s just that all the undecideds voted Republican" is mostly just a lazy excuse for pollsters (not that it matters in this case because most of these would be inaccurate even if you gave all the undecideds to Republicans — Whitmer/Kelly and Mullin/Boozman having an identical base of support/% is ludicrous, for instance, regardless of how the "undecideds" in those races break).

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Oklahoma Senator (Special) by SoonerPoll on 2022-09-07

Summary: D: 40%, R: 52%, I: 4%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details