OK GOV SOONER POLL STITT +1
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Author Topic: OK GOV SOONER POLL STITT +1  (Read 757 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« on: September 13, 2022, 04:10:44 PM »
« edited: September 13, 2022, 04:14:18 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

GOV Stitt R inc 44
HOFMEISTER D 43
Yen (I)  4
Bruno (L) 3
Undecided 7

https://www.soonerpoll.com/post/governor-stitt-leads-joy-hofmeister-by-just-one-point-in-baseline-poll
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2022, 04:50:11 PM »
« Edited: September 13, 2022, 04:55:12 PM by Real Texan Politics »

Safe R -> Safe D

Just kidding, it's always been and always will be safe R.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2022, 04:57:31 PM »

I was going to say "good contender for worst poll of the cycle," but I feel like I’ve been saying those exact same words almost every week for the last few years.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2022, 07:05:16 PM »

I was going to say "good contender for worst poll of the cycle," but I feel like I’ve been saying those exact same words almost every week for the last few years.

True, but this one should be at least a finalist.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2022, 07:09:45 PM »
« Edited: September 14, 2022, 11:19:51 AM by Ad Astra »

The only thing that would be funnier than this poll would be if this poll somehow turns out to be accurate and Hofmeister actually outperforms Edmondson 2018. That would be some true political comedy.

0% chance, but imagine lol
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2022, 09:02:45 PM »
« Edited: September 13, 2022, 09:10:25 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

The only thing that would be funnier than this poll would be if this poll somehow turnes out to be accurate and Hofmeister actually outperforms Edmondson 2018. That would be some true political comedy.

0% chance, but imagine lol

I think people do t know what wave insurance it means an upset any Red state outside of the 303map is wave insurance but just remember AZ and GA weren't blue they were red and and NV,CO, VA, IA, and FL were all blue during Obama Buden

I put it on my map I have been doing this since 2004 you can't make exact maps

Most people back in 2004, that made D nut maps aren't even on the forum we had 365 prediction and now we only have 95

If we had all 365 prediction it would be a 303 not R nut map because they made D nut maps like me
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2022, 12:38:30 AM »

This firm was way off in 2018 (their final poll was R+3, whereas the actual result was +12). Similarly bad in 2020 (final poll was R+22, whereas the actual result was +33). You'd think a polling firm that only polls a single state would have figured out how to not be extremely bad at it by now!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: September 14, 2022, 06:01:31 AM »

This firm was way off in 2018 (their final poll was R+3, whereas the actual result was +12). Similarly bad in 2020 (final poll was R+22, whereas the actual result was +33). You'd think a polling firm that only polls a single state would have figured out how to not be extremely bad at it by now!

There gonna be upsets and this is one of them
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #8 on: September 14, 2022, 06:39:20 AM »

Stitt will win by much more than this, but Hofmeister is a decent candidate, he is a relatively weak one, and he has never been that popular. His predecessor, Mary Fallin, also underperformed in a Republican wave year (2014). I'm thinking Stitt will win by around 15-20%, maybe slightly more, in the end.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #9 on: September 14, 2022, 07:55:51 AM »

This firm was way off in 2018 (their final poll was R+3, whereas the actual result was +12). Similarly bad in 2020 (final poll was R+22, whereas the actual result was +33). You'd think a polling firm that only polls a single state would have figured out how to not be extremely bad at it by now!

Off by an average of 10 points - whew.

Though honestly, dialing up the GOP margin by 10 in this poll might prove to be somewhat close to the final result: (past 2 OK-GOV wins have been 14.8 and 12.1-point margins). And once again, it's possible that the Democratic candidate's final % is actually being more or less accurately reflected in the poll - they've just forgotten to give all the rest of the vote to the GOP candidate!
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #10 on: September 14, 2022, 09:31:09 AM »

No
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: September 14, 2022, 09:34:22 AM »

LOL!

This poll may the biggest piece of garbage of the 2022 cycle.
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seskoog
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« Reply #12 on: September 14, 2022, 11:39:51 AM »

They're routinely 10 points off. Still, Stitt+11 in a Trump+33 state is still good for Democrats.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: September 14, 2022, 11:59:40 AM »
« Edited: September 14, 2022, 02:06:47 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

This same poll have Langford up by 17 this is the right poll Stitt +1, Biden isn't at 41%, he is at 46/48 much better than Trump was 43/54 in 2018/20
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President Johnson
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« Reply #14 on: September 14, 2022, 01:58:03 PM »

They made that one up, right?
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