Correlation between motherhood fertility and voting.

[MyLifeIsYours]

Do you think there's a consistent pattern between the ages of mothers when they had their children and their political affiliation?

Think about say, someone who becomes a mother at 20 years old. Based on avaliable data, it seems like minorities tend to have children much younger than their white counterparts, however, the red states have the youngest mothers at first birth rate, per a New York Times article from five years back. Just a taker but the Democrats would have more extremes in mothers while Republicans would be closer to the median age.  Evangelicals and Mormons skew a large tendency to have children very young, so the type of mother who leans Republican would have a strong religious bent.  Child free adults are going to be the largest of the groups based off the backs of college educated voters.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

No because you have very different groups, rural whites, urban blacks, Mormons, various other random ethnic groupings,  etc who tend to have relatively low age of motherhood that it wouldn’t lead to a meaningful distinction

[MyLifeIsYours]

No because you have very different groups, rural whites, urban blacks, Mormons, various other random ethnic groupings,  etc who tend to have relatively low age of motherhood that it wouldn’t lead to a meaningful distinction

Yes but you can make distinction based off the demographics involved who are usually young mothers. You can look at how red states are unanimous always more likely to produce more younger mothers compare to blue states. It can just be look at through the demographic makeup that are attained to factors as income, Religion, education.

[Skill and Chance]

If there is a meaningful relationship, it would most likely be:

First child age > 30 -> Lean Dem and getting more Dem over time
First child in 20's -> Lean GOP
First child age < 20 -> Lean Dem but getting less Dem over time

The married at 23-25, first child at 25-27 demographic is likely to be very Republican.  Everything else is less certain.   

I wonder how the married early 20's, but no kids until early 30's demographic votes?  You see this a lot with religious couples who go to grad school.

[MyLifeIsYours]

If there is a meaningful relationship, it would most likely be:

First child age > 30 -> Lean Dem and getting more Dem over time
First child in 20's -> Lean GOP
First child age < 20 -> Lean Dem but getting less Dem over time

The married at 23-25, first child at 25-27 demographic is likely to be very Republican.  Everything else is less certain.   

I wonder how the married early 20's, but no kids until early 30's demographic votes?  You see this a lot with religious couples who go to grad school.

That special demographic could lean R but generally speaking, I think the pushover for kids in early 30s makes it a lean Democratic constituency. If someone got marries relatively early I tend to think many have no higher education background or are religious devouted, so it does have swing traits.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Young Married mothers would be heavily republican, Young Single mothers would be heavily democrat*


*with incredibly low turnout

[Ferguson97]

The older you have your first child, the more likely it is that you are highly-educated. And high-education now correlates with voting Democrat.