MN-SEN 2024 megathread

[Minnesota Mike]

As for the Senate race it's been real quiet. So far as far as I know no Republican has even come forward as even looking at the race. The only name I have seen floated is failed Governor candidate Scott Jensen but I think that is mostly wishful thinking by Democrats and dooming by Republicans.

[henster]

Klobuchar is just gonna keep winning big because no one serious ever runs against her. Despite the trends I still think she's going to win by like 15-20 points.

[Sir Mohamed]

Klobuchar is just gonna keep winning big because no one serious ever runs against her. Despite the trends I still think she's going to win by like 15-20 points.

She's definitely going to win fair and square, though I'm fully expecting a decrease of her margin and vote share compared to 2018, which was also a decrease from 2012, which was her best result at 65%. Unless the R-candidate is Mastriano-level bad, I see an outcome like 55-42% as plausible.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Klobuchar is just gonna keep winning big because no one serious ever runs against her. Despite the trends I still think she's going to win by like 15-20 points.

She's definitely going to win fair and square, though I'm fully expecting a decrease of her margin and vote share compared to 2018, which was also a decrease from 2012, which was her best result at 65%. Unless the R-candidate is Mastriano-level bad, I see an outcome like 55-42% as plausible.

Her GOP opponent is guaranteed to make a net increase in counties won at least.

[Minnesota Mike]

Klobuchar is just gonna keep winning big because no one serious ever runs against her. Despite the trends I still think she's going to win by like 15-20 points.

Her first run she faced 3 term congressman Mark Kennedy who was considered a top tier recruit. Of course 2006 was a good year for Democrats and even better for Klobuchar and she won by 20.

[Minnesota Mike]

* Bump

Well it's the end 0f 2023, less than 2 months before MN precinct caucuses, and Republicans still do not have a serious candidate. In theory Republicans have until the early June filing deadline to find a real candidate but given the importance that is normally placed on the caucus/convention endorsement any C list or better candidate would be in by now. There will be someone on the ballot against Klobuchar but I highly doubt it is someone of substance.

[Fancyarcher]

* Bump

Well it's the end 0f 2023, less than 2 months before MN precinct caucuses, and Republicans still do not have a serious candidate. In theory Republicans have until the early June filing deadline to find a real candidate but given the importance that is normally placed on the caucus/convention endorsement any C list or better candidate would be in by now. There will be someone on the ballot against Klobuchar but I highly doubt it is someone of substance.

There's really no denying at this point, that Klobuchar is going to substantially lose a lot of her crossover support even against a sacrificial lamb. Both Schumer and Wyden saw a lot of counties swing against them in 2022 despite their candidates being considered jokes for example, still she's not in any danger either. About a 14 point win seems realistic.

[JMT]

I totally forgot Klobuchar was up for reelection this year.

I do wonder who the GOP will nominate. Based on Wikipedia, it looks like the only candidate of note may be Royce White, who I guess is a former professional basketball player (I’m not a sports person, so I’ve never heard of him).

[Minnesota Mike]

I totally forgot Klobuchar was up for reelection this year.

I do wonder who the GOP will nominate. Based on Wikipedia, it looks like the only candidate of note may be Royce White, who I guess is a former professional basketball player (I’m not a sports person, so I’ve never heard of him).

Royce White is a former NBA player who is also certifiably nuts. He pushes every far right conspiracy, has been a guest on the Alex Jones show and was endorsed by Steve Bannon in his failed run in MN-05 in 2022 when he lost in the Rep primary.

[JMT]

I totally forgot Klobuchar was up for reelection this year.

I do wonder who the GOP will nominate. Based on Wikipedia, it looks like the only candidate of note may be Royce White, who I guess is a former professional basketball player (I’m not a sports person, so I’ve never heard of him).

Royce White is a former NBA player who is also certifiably nuts. He pushes every far right conspiracy, has been a guest on the Alex Jones show and was endorsed by Steve Bannon in his failed run in MN-05 in 2022 when he lost in the Rep primary.

Sounds like he’d fit right in with today’s GOP, then!

[JMT]

Still safe Klobuchar, but this guy seems like a decent recruit for Republicans:

https://twitter.com/thauserkstp/status/1752326607765684299?s=46&t=-r8JGlJno4...

[Minnesota Mike]

LOL just beat me to it on a thread that has dormant for a month. Fraser at least doesn't appear to be an embarrassing gadfly like the rest of the Republican field. Still safe D though.