Chilean Elections and General Discussion. Municipal and Regional elections, October 27th, 2024
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  Chilean Elections and General Discussion. Municipal and Regional elections, October 27th, 2024
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Poll
Question: Which list would you vote for?
#1
Unidad para Chile (AD-PS-PL, left-wing)
 
#2
Todo por Chile (PPD-DC-PR, centre-left)
 
#3
Partido de la Gente (populism)
 
#4
Chile Seguro (Chile Vamos, right-wing)
 
#5
Partido Republicano (Far right)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 25

Author Topic: Chilean Elections and General Discussion. Municipal and Regional elections, October 27th, 2024  (Read 16629 times)
kaoras
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« Reply #100 on: May 07, 2023, 02:09:21 PM »

Polls close in 2 hours in Magallanes and in 3 hours in the rest of continental Chile.

Official results: https://www.servelelecciones.cl/

Official Magallanes results:
 https://www.servelelecciones.cl/#/votacion/elecciones_consejo_gen/circ_senatorial/5015

Better looking results: https://www.decidechile.cl/

Links to live coverage:

Chilevisión:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2koKKi69ByY

TVN: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pcdsoJVV0VI
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Lumine
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« Reply #101 on: May 07, 2023, 04:25:58 PM »

And now it begins.

Polls have closed in Magallanes. Still early, but very - dare I say extremely - encouraging results for the Partido Republicano.
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kaoras
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« Reply #102 on: May 07, 2023, 04:28:07 PM »

Tele 13 has consolidated vote of the early results from Magallanes as they come in: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=heVtqQtKAE8

So far it looks like this



As expected, lot of null votes
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Mike88
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« Reply #103 on: May 07, 2023, 04:30:37 PM »

T13 channel quick counting of the Magallanes region is the following, so far:

26.8% Republicanos
22.5% Unidad Chile
15.5% Chile Seguro
12.7% Todo por Chile
  4.2% Partido de la Gente
18.3% Independents
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Mike88
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« Reply #104 on: May 07, 2023, 04:34:32 PM »

So, far, and if I did my math is right, in Boric's precinct, 35% of votes are either Blank or Invalid.
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kaoras
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« Reply #105 on: May 07, 2023, 04:35:01 PM »

Both Republicans and UpCh are going up

 
So, far, and if I did my math is right, in Boric's precinct, 35% of votes are either Blank or Invalid.

I will now accept my accolades
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kaoras
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« Reply #106 on: May 07, 2023, 04:40:57 PM »


Now like that.

Interesting pattern with the geolocalization. Universidad de Magallanes and Gimnasio Fiscal polling stations, where most of the TV stations are and which are in an uppity zone of Punta Arenas, have TxCh doing very well alongside the right, and with less nulls than in other pollings stations. But overall it seems that Unidad para Chile gets support on the back of the poorer zones of the city (apparently)

Still very early though.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #107 on: May 07, 2023, 04:52:06 PM »

What are the chances of the constitution actually improving, from a right-wing perspective, compared to the current status-quo?
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Mike88
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« Reply #108 on: May 07, 2023, 04:59:02 PM »

The count is finalized in Boric's precinct. The Republicanos are the most voted list. 60 invalid ballots here.
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kaoras
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« Reply #109 on: May 07, 2023, 05:00:52 PM »

Canal 13 is now changing wildly every minute. Better to wait for SERVEL
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Mike88
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« Reply #110 on: May 07, 2023, 05:24:12 PM »
« Edited: May 07, 2023, 05:27:34 PM by Mike88 »

First results from SERVEL are being reported, just 0.03%:

34.1% Republicanos
22.3% Unidad pr Chile
15.8% Chile Seguro
13.5% Todo por Chile
  4.3% Partido de la Gente
10.0% Independents

24.1% Blank/Invalid ballots
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kaoras
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« Reply #111 on: May 07, 2023, 05:28:53 PM »

First results from SERVEL are being reported, just 0.03%:

34.1% Republicanos
22.3% Unidad pr Chile
15.8% Chile Seguro
13.5% Todo por Chile
  4.3% Partido de la Gente
10.0% Independents

24.1% Blank/Invalid ballots

This is all from Magallanes
Btw, being a poll watcher now, keep me updated!
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Lumine
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« Reply #112 on: May 07, 2023, 05:30:42 PM »

First results from SERVEL are being reported, just 0.03%:

34.1% Republicanos
22.3% Unidad pr Chile
15.8% Chile Seguro
13.5% Todo por Chile
  4.3% Partido de la Gente
10.0% Independents

24.1% Blank/Invalid ballots

3% of the Magallanes vote, more or less.
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Mike88
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« Reply #113 on: May 07, 2023, 05:33:30 PM »

We'll keep you updated Kaoras. Smiley Have fun at the count.
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Lumine
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« Reply #114 on: May 07, 2023, 05:39:18 PM »

8% of Magallanes vote now, Chile Seguro gains a few points. Still one Republican and one Unidad por Chile on track to be elected.
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Mike88
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« Reply #115 on: May 07, 2023, 05:48:57 PM »

According to a reporter, it seems that many, many voters voted in their preferred candidate of each of the 6 lists on the ballot and thus, invalidated their ballots.
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kaoras
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« Reply #116 on: May 07, 2023, 05:51:11 PM »

According to a reporter, it seems that many, many voters voted in their preferred candidate of each of the 6 lists on the ballot and thus, invalidated their ballots.

Lol, that meant that they fully intended to vote null.
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Mike88
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« Reply #117 on: May 07, 2023, 05:52:05 PM »

According to a reporter, it seems that many, many voters voted in their preferred candidate of each of the 6 lists on the ballot and thus, invalidated their ballots.

Lol, that meant that they fully intended to vote null.


Probably. Cool Wink
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Mike88
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« Reply #118 on: May 07, 2023, 06:08:42 PM »

Around 9 million votes expected, with the current trends. Could change with more data.
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Lumine
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« Reply #119 on: May 07, 2023, 06:31:17 PM »

With 2,36%:

Partido Republicano 35,49%
Unidad para Chile 25,45%
Chile Seguro 21,50%
Todo por Chile 10,05%
PDG 5,33%
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Mike88
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« Reply #120 on: May 07, 2023, 06:40:37 PM »

7.81% counted:

36.2% Republicanos
26.2% Unidad pr Chile
22.0% Chile Seguro
  9.5% Todo por Chile
  5.2% Partido de la Gente
  1.0% Independents

21.3% Blank/Invalid ballots
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kaoras
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« Reply #121 on: May 07, 2023, 06:48:13 PM »

7.81% counted:

36.2% Republicanos
26.2% Unidad pr Chile
22.0% Chile Seguro
  9.5% Todo por Chile
  5.2% Partido de la Gente
  1.0% Independents

21.3% Blank/Invalid ballots

Seat count would be Rep 23, UpCh 16, ChS 11. A few seats could still change but it will remain more or less like that.

Truly dystopic results.
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Lumine
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« Reply #122 on: May 07, 2023, 06:49:09 PM »

The rate things are going, Partido Republicano may have won the biggest result for any single party in Chile since... 1965, I think. Different elections and all, but upwards of 30% is certainly astounding. They are even projected to gain more than 20 seats.
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Mike88
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« Reply #123 on: May 07, 2023, 06:52:52 PM »

Almost 20% counted and it's 36% Republicanos, 27% UpCh and 22% ChS.

If the trend continues the rightwing could get a 2/3 majority in the Constitutional Council. Wow!
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Lumine
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« Reply #124 on: May 07, 2023, 06:55:31 PM »

Well... I mean, it sure beats the dark days of 2021, but this can't be good.

I don't think I ever wondered how a Republican-written Constitution would actually look like, because with this result they really can't drop things and pretend it's not their problem. It's all but theirs to write.
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