IL - Victory Research: Pritzker +11

[Gracile]

(I can't find the full poll release, but 538 seems to acknowledge that this is real - will try to find a full PDF when I can):

https://twitter.com/NapervillePol/status/1567241289137094657

JB Pritzker (D-inc) 47%
Darren Bailey (R) 36%
John Phillips (L) 2%

1208 likely voters, 2.82%
8/30-9/1

[Roll Roons]

I could see the final result being something like this.

[Progressive Pessimist]

The polling for this contest has been all over the place when it comes to whether Bailey will do better than Rauner or not. I honestly don't know. That's the really the only suspenseful thing about it though.

[Schiff for Senate]

I could see the final result being something like this.

Yeah, Pritzker+11 doesn't sound unreasonable to me.