NV-GOV - Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research for AARP - Sisolak +3

[OneJ]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1565328055723118592

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/cortez-masto-and-sisolak-hold-slim-leads-are-losing-hispanic-support-aarp-poll-finds

[Sir Mohamed]

These huge amounts of undecideds are so annoying.

Put it in the average; Tossup remains Tossup.

[S019]

48-46 Lombardo when undecideds are pushed, which seems about right. Still a Tossup, obviously.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Nevada polls still seem pretty unhelpful in telling us what's happening in the state. Ideally, the Democratic underestimation and efficiency of the Culinary Union/Reid machine remnant can deliver the state to Democrats once again.

[MT Treasurer]

Nevada polls still seem pretty unhelpful in telling us what's happening in the state. Ideally, the Democratic underestimation and efficiency of the Culinary Union/Reid machine remnant can deliver the state to Democrats once again.

Which was non-existent in 2020, but let’s just skip that part. Funny how the same people quick to mock Republicans for pointing out consistent polling errors in favor of Democrats in previous cycles are then quick to assert that polls "always underestimate Democrats" in NV.

[wbrocks67]

Nevada polls still seem pretty unhelpful in telling us what's happening in the state. Ideally, the Democratic underestimation and efficiency of the Culinary Union/Reid machine remnant can deliver the state to Democrats once again.

Which was non-existent in 2020, but let’s just skip that part. Funny how the same people quick to mock Republicans for pointing out consistent polling errors in favor of Democrats in previous cycles are then quick to assert that polls "always underestimate Democrats" in NV.

Actually they technically still did in 2020, but by 0.3%. But that's also likely due to the fact that we really didn't get a ton of NV polls toward the end

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nv/nevada_trump_vs_biden-6867.html

[Progressive Pessimist]

Nevada polls still seem pretty unhelpful in telling us what's happening in the state. Ideally, the Democratic underestimation and efficiency of the Culinary Union/Reid machine remnant can deliver the state to Democrats once again.

Which was non-existent in 2020, but let’s just skip that part. Funny how the same people quick to mock Republicans for pointing out consistent polling errors in favor of Democrats in previous cycles are then quick to assert that polls "always underestimate Democrats" in NV.

You're ignoring something yourself, the part where I said "ideally." I'm not banking on any of that, just kind of wishing for all that to happen.

It should be apparent by now that in nearly every polling thread I comment in, even ones I like the result of, I am always qualifying my comments and being open to the possibility of polls being off yet again.