Mitchell Research: MI-10: James up 9 Points

[2016]

https://twitter.com/AbigailLWalls/status/1562797275293683712

So much for that crap Poll from Marlinga which oversampled Democrats.

[wbrocks67]

What would Whitmer have gotten in this district in 2018?

Dixon underperforming James by 8% here is pretty striking.

Also, maybe somebody can do the math but if the sample is D+2 and James is up 9, this must have James up by insane margins among Independents?

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Can anyone compare those city margins to how they voted in MI-SEN 2020? They seem...wrong.

[wbrocks67]

Can anyone compare those city margins to how they voted in MI-SEN 2020? They seem...wrong.

Someone else said that on Twitter. Could be a result of small n= size though?

Either way, Mitchell has Dixon +1 but Target Insyght has Whitmer +6, so, someone from MI can tell me which of those seems more likely lol.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Didn't 2016 post Molinaro up by 8 it's a blue District I expect D's to win AZ 6, MI 10, WI 3 just like NY 19/18

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Can anyone compare those city margins to how they voted in MI-SEN 2020? They seem...wrong.

Someone else said that on Twitter. Could be a result of small n= size though?

Either way, Mitchell has Dixon +1 but Target Insyght has Whitmer +6, so, someone from MI can tell me which of those seems more likely lol.

I can't find anything about the poll anywhere else and going to that mirsnews site gives me a security warning, and proceeding through it the site looks sus as hell, and I can't find anything related to the poll on it either.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I doubt James is up 10 after the 2 pt poll we saw yesterday and I doubt Rs are ahead by 12 in WI 3

[S019]

I don’t really expect Democrats to hold this one, still Lean R.

[windjammer]

I still think James will lose

[Tintrlvr]

Idk, Mitchell is a C- rated pollster, so barely better than an internal: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/mitchell-research-communications/

[Pollster]

So much for that crap Poll from Marlinga which oversampled Democrats.

Can we stop misusing the word "oversampled" please? The term you are looking for is "overrepresented."

[Progressive Pessimist]

I suppose that is more realistic after all, but I am still curious as to how the abortion referendum may cause a turnout disparity relative to polling like we saw in NY-19.