PA-SEN (Franklin & Marshall): Fetterman +13

[wbrocks67]

Fetterman (D) 43%
Oz (R) 30%
Gerhardt (L) 3%
Wassmer (K) 1%
Weiss (G) 1%
Someone else 2%
Undecided 20%

Favorabilities:
John Fetterman: 43/36 (+7)
Mehmet Oz: 27/57 (-30)

Best understands the concerns of Pennsylvanians? 52% Fetterman, 28% Oz
Closet to your views on social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage? 46% Fetterman, 32% Oz
Will change government policies in a way that will improve your economic situation? 37% Fetterman, 33% Oz

https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/952120655243389694-f-mpoll-august2022-toplinereport.pdf

[wbrocks67]

For anyone asking, yes, unfortunately this is F&Ms thing in terms of large undecided.

At this exact time in 2018, they had the senate race as Casey 47-Barletta 34.

Funny enough though, that nailed the final result.

[Person Man]

Lean, almost Likely D.

[wbrocks67]

This question though seems particularly devastating for Oz:

Best understands the concerns of Pennsylvanians? 52% Fetterman, 28% Oz

GOP can go on and on about Fetterman's "schtick" but... people relate to it.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Dominating.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Those favorability numbers on Oz are horrendous.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Will change government policies in a way that will improve your economic situation? 37% Fetterman, 33% Oz

At least one thing isn't completely horrendous for Oz in this poll...lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's tough for Rs because in 24 they are gonna see a similar result in WI, MI, PA and AZ because Bob Casey Jr and Tammy Baldwin are on the ballot in 24

[wbrocks67]

The crosstabs have Oz at 11% with the <35 crowd. I know this is not real but I just had to laugh

Though if there is one demographic that Oz will likely do the most horrendous with, it's probably Gen Z/millennials lol

[citizenZ]

30% for Oz? He's gonna wind up atleast 46%. This poll is insane.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Oz at 27/57 favorability in an R+2 generic ballot poll is as atrocious as expected.

Unfortunately, the poll appears to ask leaners separately, and the half that show a lean preference are overwhelmingly for him. Still only about 44/36 with those leaners included.

[Eraserhead]

Oz on life support. They're getting ready to pull the plug on the old boy.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Will change government policies in a way that will improve your economic situation? 37% Fetterman, 33% Oz

At least one thing isn't completely horrendous for Oz in this poll...lol

it's the one thing he should be ahead on because of inflation, the fact he isn't...

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

doing my "worst case scenario" stuff again with 80% undecideds going to R

47% Fetterman
46% Oz

When a poll with 20% undecideds under this model still ends in a D win...

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

30% for Oz? He's gonna wind up atleast 46%. This poll is insane.

You clearly do not have much familiarity with F&M's polling. They always, always, have comically large numbers of undecideds at this point in the race. Their 8/26/2018 poll had Casey at 47% and Barletta at 34%, 8/29/2016 poll had McGinty at 43% and Toomey at 38%, 8/12/2012 poll had Casey at 43% and Smith at 28%, 8/23/2010 they had Toomey at 31% and Sestak at 28%, 8/21/2006 poll had Casey at 44% and Santorum at 39%, etc etc ad nauseam. I don't know why they don't change their methodology, maybe they feel like pushing undecideds leads to less accurate results or something. Take it up with Terry Madonna.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Will change government policies in a way that will improve your economic situation? 37% Fetterman, 33% Oz

At least one thing isn't completely horrendous for Oz in this poll...lol

it's the one thing he should be ahead on because of inflation, the fact he isn't...

True, it's not good for him. I was thinking, that's the only question on which he's actually competitive on...so good for him, lol.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Will change government policies in a way that will improve your economic situation? 37% Fetterman, 33% Oz

At least one thing isn't completely horrendous for Oz in this poll...lol

it's the one thing he should be ahead on because of inflation, the fact he isn't...

True, it's not good for him. I was thinking, that's the only question on which he's actually competitive on...so good for him, lol.

"That's twenty dollars for crudité!"

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Franklin and Marshall College on 2022-08-21

Summary: D: 43%, R: 30%, I: 7%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details