PA-Trafalgar: Shapiro +4 (user search)
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  PA-Trafalgar: Shapiro +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-Trafalgar: Shapiro +4  (Read 1269 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,793
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: August 21, 2022, 08:02:51 PM »

This is going to be close close close in the end.

When this is Mastriano's best poll in two months, sis no it's not

The only person that won by 9 or more pts is Bob Casey Jr, and he is on the Ballot he also pushed Wolf polls numbers up in 2018 Wolf won by 9 against Corbett when Corbett was DOA already this was bound to get close but we can win OH or FL Gov too the polls are showing close races in either states
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,793
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2022, 06:30:13 AM »

It's not even Labor Day but Oct 1st thru 31st the Early vote starts voting and urban vote votes early and rural vote votes last the only urban vote that votes on EDay are college students that register late whom are provisional ballots because they are in between home and school, the rural vote votes on same day because not only they have kids they have farms to take care of and Nov 8 th not early vote is easy to do during Harvest season

That's why Fetterman lead is good not bad because he will bank those early votes early, so Rs don't get your hopes up the urban vote votes really early
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,793
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2022, 06:29:40 PM »

These Traggy polls are partisan and have House effects they had CCM losing and Suffolk has CCM c'mon just because it's Traggy doesn't mean anything

I am waiting for another mon Emerson or Traggy polls in OH Sen, clearly the Gov race In OH is polling like Strickland v Portman 52/37
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,793
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2022, 08:48:52 AM »

the polling gold standard. if they say its this close than it is. I fully expect to be very disappointed election day.

The only person to win by 9pts was Bob Casey Jr he is has his father Bob Casey Sr just like Beshear has his father but D's are overperformed in red states OH, NC and FL Sen races and AK rep it's a 303 map with wave Insurance, we're gonna win Pa anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,793
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2022, 06:50:54 PM »

These Traggy polls are just verifying what we already know 303 blue wall while other non Traggy polls have us D's competetive in the Red states but we know it's a 303 map it's called wave insurance and Biden polls are at 48/47 Approvals he was down at 41% at one pt but he is past that now
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