This is going to be close close close in the end.
Not when the gold standard implies it'll be a fairly comfortable mid-single digit win for Shapiro.
Sure, one would hope it would be a larger win, but I personally always expected this to come down to being within ten points at most this year. This poll suggests about what I've always expected in the end.
It's not even Labor Day.
Sure, but Mastriano has spent $0 on ads this entire Summer and there's something called 'defining your opponent early', especially when Mastriano, going into Labor Day, is *still* broke.
Mastriano hasn't much to spend after Labor Days anyway, and it may get increasingly difficult to change and moderate his image. Even looks like he doesn't even bother about that image.
That said, margin of this poll seems reasonable or is at least what Shapiro should get as a minimum. The double digit leads and Mastriano in mid/high 40s were never plausible to begin with. A 45% vote share is reasonable here.
