NV-Suffolk: Sisolak +3
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  NV-Suffolk: Sisolak +3
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Author Topic: NV-Suffolk: Sisolak +3  (Read 433 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: August 21, 2022, 02:10:09 PM »

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Spectator
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2022, 02:19:30 PM »

I do think Sisolak is more likely to lose than Masto. Lombardo is stronger than Laxalt.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2022, 02:20:34 PM »

last poll (in april) by them had Lombardo up 40-38
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2022, 02:48:12 PM »

Link: https://www.scribd.com/document/587943724/RGJ-Suffolk-Poll-Cross-Tabs

Governor's race is on page 2.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2022, 02:53:26 PM »

Worthless, way too many undecided. This and the senate race remain tight. As incumbent, you don't want to sit at 43%.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2022, 03:15:18 PM »

Worthless, way too many undecided. This and the senate race remain tight. As incumbent, you don't want to sit at 43%.

I agree on the undecided but given the NV history, I would not be surprised if we saw another result like 2018 where Sisolak/Masto still pull it out with like 47-48% of the vote.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2022, 03:28:19 PM »

Favorabilities:
Steve Sisolak: 46/43 (+3)
Joe Lombardo: 32/38 (-6)
Joe Biden: 41/53 (-12)
Donald Trump: 40/53 (-13)
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2022, 03:34:25 PM »

Worthless, way too many undecided. This and the senate race remain tight. As incumbent, you don't want to sit at 43%.

I agree on the undecided but given the NV history, I would not be surprised if we saw another result like 2018 where Sisolak/Masto still pull it out with like 47-48% of the vote.

Yeah, CCM already won in 2016 with 47% of the vote. So 48-49% would probably be enough. Dean Heller even won with 45% back in 2012.

Third party candidate tend to do somewhat better in Nevada. And as far as I know the state also has a "none of these candidates" option on that ballot, which might pull a half of a percentage point or somewhat more as well.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: August 21, 2022, 05:49:14 PM »

I don't really know what to make of Nevada polls this year-they're all over the place, and with all the undecideds I don't think this particular poll actually tells us much. I certainly hope Suffolk here is as predictive as some are suggesting it is, certainly I hope it's better than the Trafalgar one.
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