Republicans only: Which is the most important Governor Race this year from a GOP Pespective?

[2016]

In your humbled Opinion: Which Governors Race is the most important for Republicans during the 2022 Midterm Elections?

Chime in!

I am hoping of a good and lively conversation

[OSR stands with Israel]

I would say either Texas or Florida cause the results in those races shape policy in other states and shape a national discussion far more than any other state the republicans would be likely to win in . Out of those id go Florida given DeSantis is a tier 1 presidential candidate while Abbott would be tier 3.

[2016]

I would say either Texas or Florida cause the results in those races shape policy in other states and shape a national discussion far more than any other state the republicans would be likely to win in . Out of those id go Florida given DeSantis is a tier 1 presidential candidate while Abbott would be tier 3.

I would agree with you especially about Florida. I just can't see in my mind how DeSantis could lose his own Re-Election given what Crist did yesterday by voting for this sort of New Green Deal Part 2 which on top of it hired 87,000 IRS Agents.

Florida is surrounded by water. It thrives on its Small Business & Tourism Industry in the Summer and Winter Months. Those IRS Agents would be devastating for FL Small Business Community. Crists wants to enforce a Mask Mandate and wants to shut down the State again. FL has among the lowest Inflation Rates in the Country, it's Economy is booming, etc.

Those are all things DeSantis can run on.

[wesmoorenerd]

I would say either Texas or Florida cause the results in those races shape policy in other states and shape a national discussion far more than any other state the republicans would be likely to win in . Out of those id go Florida given DeSantis is a tier 1 presidential candidate while Abbott would be tier 3.

I would agree with you especially about Florida. I just can't see in my mind how DeSantis could lose his own Re-Election given what Crist did yesterday by voting for this sort of New Green Deal Part 2 which on top of it hired 87,000 IRS Agents.

Florida is surrounded by water. It thrives on its Small Business & Tourism Industry in the Summer and Winter Months. Those IRS Agents would be devastating for FL Small Business Community. Crists wants to enforce a Mask Mandate and wants to shut down the State again. FL has among the lowest Inflation Rates in the Country, it's Economy is booming, etc.

Those are all things DeSantis can run on.

pretty soon it'll be surrounded by water on four sides instead of three: south, east, west, and above

[ProgressiveModerate]

I agree that TX or FL, both of which I'd rate as likely GOP are the most important as some posters above said. First off, the states are massive and have great influence nationally, and are also realtively diverse relative to most GOP states.

I think of the swing states though, prolly PA as an R trifecta in PA would be very powerful and could basically take over teh state however they like.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

I would say either Texas or Florida cause the results in those races shape policy in other states and shape a national discussion far more than any other state the republicans would be likely to win in . Out of those id go Florida given DeSantis is a tier 1 presidential candidate while Abbott would be tier 3.

I would agree with you especially about Florida. I just can't see in my mind how DeSantis could lose his own Re-Election given what Crist did yesterday by voting for this sort of New Green Deal Part 2 which on top of it hired 87,000 IRS Agents.

Florida is surrounded by water. It thrives on its Small Business & Tourism Industry in the Summer and Winter Months. Those IRS Agents would be devastating for FL Small Business Community. Crists wants to enforce a Mask Mandate and wants to shut down the State again. FL has among the lowest Inflation Rates in the Country, it's Economy is booming, etc.

Those are all things DeSantis can run on.

Florida uses the US Dollar. It has the same inflation rate as everyone else. Florida sinking into the ocean is probably the only good thing coming from climate change. It's not my fault that Floridians vote for a climate change denier. Actually, it represents Republicans well. They push the costs of their tax cuts onto the younger generations and support pro-life policies so they can have wage slaves to fund Boomers' retirements since the programs designed to support them are underfunded.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I didn't vote since I'm not a Republican, but the stakes for you really don't seem as high as they do for us since you're threatening the very fabric of how states vote if your side wins many of this year's elections.

So applying stakes to you, I would say Florida and Texas. I see no way that Crist or O'Rourke win this year, but if they are relatively close that's going to reflect poorly on your future in those states, and especially for DeSantis as the likeliest alternative to Trump being the flag-bearer for your party.

I would say either Texas or Florida cause the results in those races shape policy in other states and shape a national discussion far more than any other state the republicans would be likely to win in . Out of those id go Florida given DeSantis is a tier 1 presidential candidate while Abbott would be tier 3.

I would agree with you especially about Florida. I just can't see in my mind how DeSantis could lose his own Re-Election given what Crist did yesterday by voting for this sort of New Green Deal Part 2 which on top of it hired 87,000 IRS Agents.

Florida is surrounded by water. It thrives on its Small Business & Tourism Industry in the Summer and Winter Months. Those IRS Agents would be devastating for FL Small Business Community. Crists wants to enforce a Mask Mandate and wants to shut down the State again. FL has among the lowest Inflation Rates in the Country, it's Economy is booming, etc.

Those are all things DeSantis can run on.

Florida uses the US Dollar. It has the same inflation rate as everyone else. Florida sinking into the ocean is probably the only good thing coming from climate change. It's not my fault that Floridians vote for a climate change denier. Actually, it represents Republicans well. They push the costs of their tax cuts onto the younger generations and support pro-life policies so they can have wage slaves to fund Boomers' retirements since the programs designed to support them are underfunded.

I would give this post one hundred recommends if I could. 

[2016]

I would say either Texas or Florida cause the results in those races shape policy in other states and shape a national discussion far more than any other state the republicans would be likely to win in . Out of those id go Florida given DeSantis is a tier 1 presidential candidate while Abbott would be tier 3.

I would agree with you especially about Florida. I just can't see in my mind how DeSantis could lose his own Re-Election given what Crist did yesterday by voting for this sort of New Green Deal Part 2 which on top of it hired 87,000 IRS Agents.

Florida is surrounded by water. It thrives on its Small Business & Tourism Industry in the Summer and Winter Months. Those IRS Agents would be devastating for FL Small Business Community. Crists wants to enforce a Mask Mandate and wants to shut down the State again. FL has among the lowest Inflation Rates in the Country, it's Economy is booming, etc.

Those are all things DeSantis can run on.

Florida uses the US Dollar. It has the same inflation rate as everyone else. Florida sinking into the ocean is probably the only good thing coming from climate change. It's not my fault that Floridians vote for a climate change denier. Actually, it represents Republicans well. They push the costs of their tax cuts onto the younger generations and support pro-life policies so they can have wage slaves to fund Boomers' retirements since the programs designed to support them are underfunded.

Phony Carbetbagger & Party Switcher Crist wants to shut down the Florida Economy again and enforce a Mask Mandate.

[America Needs R'hllor]

I would say either Texas or Florida cause the results in those races shape policy in other states and shape a national discussion far more than any other state the republicans would be likely to win in . Out of those id go Florida given DeSantis is a tier 1 presidential candidate while Abbott would be tier 3.

On the other hand Abbott has the edge on him in the "kill as many women and trans people" competition so it's a hard one

[free my dawg]

Probably Pennsylvania, which can easily turn into Texas or Florida if Rs ever flip the governor's mansion.

[Spectator]

For me it’s Georgia, obviously. Florida can do whatever it is that Florida people do.

[David Hume]

In your humbled Opinion: Which Governors Race is the most important for Republicans during the 2022 Midterm Elections?

Chime in!

I am hoping of a good and lively conversation

PA.

FL and TX are important as two largest R states, but the races are not so, since neither is likely to flip. GA is in some sense similar.

That leaves PA. If R flipp SC by 2025, it is possible that mid-decade redistricting may happen.

[Spectator]

Of the actual competitive states, I’m convinced the GOP has shot ourselves in the foot intentionally. I think we’ll lose (and hope we lose) in Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Wisconsin. The psychos that are tying their careers to a single man like he’s some sort of deity is just bizarre and unhinged, and they need to be relegated to irrelevance.

[sg0508]

If DeSantis doesn't win impressively (i.e. at least 10 points, which is hard anyhow in FL), it severely damages his image as the next face of the party. Then the GOP really has nothing.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I'd say Nevada -- might be a good indication if the minority trends from 2020 will hold or if they were primarily due to Trump's influence. 

[Del Tachi]

TX and FL are "important" only in the sense that they're big states that solidly lean Republican, so the GOP losing there would be very detrimental to their ability to develop policy at the state level (as other posters have alluded to.)  However, there's no realistic chance Republicans lose either state this year.

What happens in the AZ/KS/NV/WI quartet seems most important in developing a narrative about who "won" the midterms, so I'd rank those four as being of equal importance to the GOP. 

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

TX and FL are "important" only in the sense that they're big states that solidly lean Republican, so the GOP losing there would be very detrimental to their ability to develop policy at the state level (as other posters have alluded to.)  However, there's no realistic chance Republicans lose either state this year.

What happens in the AZ/KS/NV/WI quartet seems most important in developing a narrative about who "won" the midterms, so I'd rank those four as being of equal importance to the GOP.  

Lake is so insane she doesn't belong in the category. I think MI is more important. Dixon is not a good candidate but she's not bad enough to lose in a year like this.