AZ-GOV (Beacon Research): Hobbs +8/9 (LV)

[wbrocks67]

July 5-20, sponsored by Environmental Voter Project

RV: Hobbs 43, Lake 38
LV: Hobbs 49, Lake 40

RV: Hobbs 42, Taylor Robson 37
LV: Hobbs 48, Taylor Robson 40

https://www.environmentalvoter.org/sites/default/files/documents/july-2022-survey-topline-data.pdf

Beacon Research is also one half of the Fox News polling outfit

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lake is losing, Great news😃

[wbrocks67]

Is this not kind of a possible PA situation?

Lake = Mastriano - excites the MAGA base but is incredibly off-putting outside of that, to moderates, etc.

Robson = Oz - doesn't really excite anyone, especially the MAGA base, but in turn isn't as off-putting to moderates, but everyone is just meh on her

not a perfect comparison but

[Sir Mohamed]

Is this not kind of a possible PA situation?

Lake = Mastriano - excites the MAGA base but is incredibly off-putting outside of that, to moderates, etc.

Robson = Oz - doesn't really excite anyone, especially the MAGA base, but in turn isn't as off-putting to moderates, but everyone is just meh on her

not a perfect comparison but

Yup, and Kelly and Fetterman, although not from the same ideological corner, great fits for their respective states, running strong campaigns and appear as some kind of outsiders.

[Lief 🗽]

I don’t really believe Democrats have a shot of picking this up in a red wave year, but on the other hand the AZ GOP seems determined to make it happen.

[President Johnson]

Didn't this pollster have Kelly up by 17% in September 2020?

On the other hand, indeed Arizona Republicans have totally gone off the rails in recent years.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Didn't this pollster have Kelly up by 17% in September 2020?

On the other hand, indeed Arizona Republicans have totally gone off the rails in recent years.

Kelly was at 52% in that one, and he won in the end with 52%.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

But but but only a Trumpist candidate like Lake will do badly with suburban voters /s

Again, I don't buy this, but the college ed gap isn't going to go away folks

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But but but only a Trumpist candidate like Lake will do badly with suburban voters /s

Again, I don't buy this, but the college ed gap isn't going to go away folks

Lol stop Dooming, if Lake wins she won't certify Biden as the 11EC vote wimner