GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,834
Political Matrix E: -7.61, S: -7.83
|
|
« on: July 28, 2022, 05:56:42 PM » |
|
Using the assumption of 80% of undecideds going R (which I believe is the high end of likelihood)
Fetterman 50.4 Oz 49.6
Shapiro 52 Mastriano 48
These are the "worst case" numbers for dems, imo. I think it's more likely that polls end up being right assuming 75% of undecideds go R. That'd bring Fetterman to a 51.25-48.75 victory and Shapiro to a 52.5-47.5 win. Sounds about right to me if things keep going the way they're going.
|