New NBC/WSJ poll by Hart/Teeter

[millwx]

I believe this is a new poll from Teeter/Hart for NBC/WSJ.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5335046/

No big surprises...  Bush 45%, Kerry 44%, Nader 4%

I guess the only minor surprise is that Bush's lead isn't a bit bigger (considering other recent polls, and that Teeter/Hart is, I think, quite good).

It was conducted June 25th-28th of 1025 RVs.

[© tweed]

The race seems to be settling back down a bit.  Bush got a bounce off of Reagan's death, and now most polls show him with a marginal lead.

Prediction: It will go like this for a month, Kerry goes up 5 after his convention, and it's even heading in to September after the GOP Convention.

[King]

I imagine Kerry will skyrocket in the polls and then crash in late August.

[zachman]

I imagine Kerry will skyrocket in the polls and then crash in late August.

I think he will hold steady until September when he soars. I think August is going to be a dumping ground for Bush's money and his strategy will be to engage Kerry's money early.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I predict that most of that 4% for Nader end up voting for Kerry. Sooner or later they'll realize that Nader is a fraud.

[mddem2004]

I imagine Kerry will skyrocket in the polls and then crash in late August.

TheKing2004.....can you make an 1896 President Forever scenario???

[WalterMitty]

most hard core nader supporters dont give a damn about john kerry (or al gore, for that matter).

ive never met a nader supporter that had anything positive to say about bill clinton, al gore, or john kerry.  

how is nader a 'fraud'?  because he hasnt changed his position on every issue under the sun like john kerry?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Nader is not a progressive.
Here are some good links.

http://www.cla.sc.edu/POLI/faculty/rosati/chait.nader.nr.3804.htm
http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2004/07/01/nader_jacobs/index_np.html