Cygnal - Iowa GCB and Senate - Generic Ballot R+13/Grassley+9.
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  Cygnal - Iowa GCB and Senate - Generic Ballot R+13/Grassley+9.
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Author Topic: Cygnal - Iowa GCB and Senate - Generic Ballot R+13/Grassley+9.  (Read 414 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
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« on: July 21, 2022, 06:27:15 PM »
« edited: July 27, 2022, 01:31:04 PM by GeorgiaModerate »


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Mr.Barkari Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2022, 06:34:42 PM »

IA is a Red state now, no matter if Franken got the nomination, Grassley is the same as Rob Portman entrenched, that's not to say the same about Ernst whom will be target again in 26

DeWine is winning by 15 pts and Vance is struggling
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Person Man
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« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2022, 07:05:49 PM »

This is indicative of a neutral year, not a red wave. Republicans probably win but Democrats will have a decent shot in 2024, at least in the house.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #3 on: July 21, 2022, 07:28:09 PM »

This is indicative of a neutral year, not a red wave. Republicans probably win but Democrats will have a decent shot in 2024, at least in the house.
This generic ballot margin is 6 points to the right of 2020.. so I wouldn't describe as indicative of a neutral year.

More like R+3.

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Mr.Barkari Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: July 21, 2022, 07:55:18 PM »
« Edited: July 21, 2022, 08:00:39 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

ECHELON INSIGHTS has it D 45/41 and Trump won IA anyways Lombardo is trailing in his own internal by 2 and D's won NV and Vance is down by 2, it doesn't matter about OH but Fetterman is leading in PA 50/44 and Barnes is leading 46/44

Rs think just because they lead in IA it's a red wave

Reynolds and Grassley will both win 51/43, like Trump beat Biden Reynolds won by only 3 pts in 2018

This is a tax reform poll the Reynolds poll is inflation

IA isn't even on Act blue as a state that D's are targeting because it's no people of color or AK or MO, NC, FL  Demings and Beasley are down only 3/5 pts and Crist is tied with DeSantis they are begging us to donate to Blk and LATINO states and of course I am donating to Ryan DeWine is up by 15 but Vance is losing in every poll it's a 303 map but like in OR Gov Betsy Johnson and UT McMillan there can be upsets we were supposed to gain H seats in 2020 we lost them models aren't exit polls they are pre Election polls
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2022, 07:58:24 AM »

Honestly if Franken could pull this race into like 5-7% that would be a win for him.
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2022, 08:17:33 AM »

Safe R/Safe R.

More likely than not the GOP sweeps all 4 congressional seats. Axne is done or at least a severe underdog. I keep comparing IA to CO. Both former swing states that are pretty much gone for Dems and the GOP, respectively.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2022, 09:03:45 AM »

Safe R/Safe R.

More likely than not the GOP sweeps all 4 congressional seats. Axne is done or at least a severe underdog. I keep comparing IA to CO. Both former swing states that are pretty much gone for Dems and the GOP, respectively.

The poll in IA 2 just dispprove this poll
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #8 on: July 27, 2022, 11:29:17 AM »

Honestly if Franken could pull this race into like 5-7% that would be a win for him.
If Donald Trump were re-elected and faced the similar economic problems that Joe Biden is dealing with (inflation, supply chain issues, and an agricultural recession), then Michael Franken might have been able to defeat Chuck Grassley narrowly.
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Conditional Surrender Taft
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #9 on: July 27, 2022, 11:48:30 AM »

This is a poll from Americans For Tax Relief.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: July 27, 2022, 03:58:28 PM »

Grassley underperforming Reynolds is a bunch of u kno what.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2022, 03:39:17 PM »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Cygnal on 2022-07-12

Summary: D: 43%, R: 52%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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